TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$142,857,652
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,278,615
483,990
Markets across
35,811
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,349
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What are climate and weather prediction markets pricing in?
Climate & environment predictions. Compare market forecasts on climate events and environmental outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 is very likely at 88% · best 87¢ on Predict | Climate and Weather | 88%+1% | $3.9M | $504K |    | |
| 2 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 3¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 2% | $526K | N/A | K | |
| 3 | 79% chance this happens · Yes at 81.7¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 79%−1% | $439K | N/A | K | |
| 4 | 5% chance this happens · Yes at 6¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 5% | $352K | $1K | | |
| 5 | 14% chance this happens · Yes at 15¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 14%−1% | $251K | $808 | | |
| 6 | 5% chance this happens · best 5¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 5% | $236K | $6K | K | |
| 7 | No clear favourite — Above 1 leads at 15% · 15¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 15% | $213K | N/A | K | |
| 8 | Minneapolis is very likely at 99% | Climate and Weather | 99%+5% | $208K | N/A | K | |
| 9 | Does not return by November 1, 2026 is very likely at 98% · 99.4¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 98%+1% | $161K | $3K | | |
| 10 | No clear favourite — Above 1 inch leads at 10% · 15¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 10%−27% | $152K | N/A | K | |
| 11 | 9% chance this happens · Yes at 12.1¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 9%+2% | $148K | $8K | | |
| 12 | 3% chance this happens · Yes at 3.3¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 3% | $143K | $1K | | |
| 13 | 2.5°C to 2.9°C is likely at 65% · 64¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 65%+2% | $141K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | Above 10 inches is very likely at 99% | Climate and Weather | 99% | $141K | N/A | K | |
| 15 | Before Dec 13, 2026 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99% | $137K | N/A | K | |
| 16 | No clear favourite — Category 1 or above leads at 1% · 1¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 1% | $105K | N/A | K | |
| 17 | Before Dec 6, 2026 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99% | $105K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | No clear favourite — Kyle leads at 19% · 19¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 19% | $93K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | Above 3,510 ft is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 97%+11% | $90K | $20K | | |
| 20 | 16°C is very likely at 100% | Climate and Weather | 100%+53% | $87K | $63K | | |
| 21 | No clear favourite — Above 4 leads at 2% · 5¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 2% | $87K | N/A | K | |
| 22 | 1250+ is very likely at 92% · 95¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 92% | $86K | $14K | | |
| 23 | 1% chance this happens · Yes at 4¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 1% | $78K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | No clear favourite — Above 2 inches leads at 33% · 33¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 33% | $77K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | 15°C is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+72% | $73K | $59K | | |
| 26 | Vance is very likely at 99% | Climate and Weather | 99% | $68K | N/A | K | |
| 27 | 19°C is very likely at 100% | Climate and Weather | 100%+56% | $66K | $48K | | |
| 28 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 2¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 2% | $65K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | No clear favourite — -3.00 to -1.01 ft leads at 40% · 40¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 40%+4% | $64K | $8K | | |
| 30 | No clear favourite — By 2030 leads at 16% · 19.6¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 16% | $64K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | 29°C is very likely at 99% · 99.5¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 99%+49% | $63K | $84K | | |
| 32 | 70-120mm is very likely at 97% · 99.5¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 97%+2% | $60K | $8K | | |
| 33 | No clear favourite — Above 10 leads at 43% · 44¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 43% | $60K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | 19°C is very likely at 100% | Climate and Weather | 100%+72% | $55K | $60K | | |
| 35 | Category 4 or above is very likely at 99% | Climate and Weather | 99% | $52K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | 3% chance this happens · Yes at 4¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 3% | $52K | N/A | K | |
| 37 | Above 15 inches is very likely at 89% · 90¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 89% | $52K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft is likely at 84% · 85¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 84% | $48K | $23K | | |
| 39 | 21°C is very likely at 100% | Climate and Weather | 100%+40% | $48K | $58K | | |
| 40 | 20°C is very likely at 90% · 98.1¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 90%+78% | $48K | $34K | | |
| 41 | 70-85mm is very likely at 86% · 88.3¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 86%+29% | $48K | $5K | | |
| 42 | Close call — Olana at 50% · 89¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 50% | $46K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | 60° to 61° is likely at 78% · 79¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 78% | $46K | N/A | K | |
| 44 | 33% chance this happens · Yes at 33¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 33% | $46K | N/A | K | |
| 45 | 31°C is very likely at 100% | Climate and Weather | 100%+70% | $45K | $35K | | |
| 46 | <3" is very likely at 97% · 98¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 97%+5% | $45K | $9K | | |
| 47 | <1.75" is likely at 74% · 75¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 74%+5% | $44K | $6K | | |
| 48 | No clear favourite — 5.00 to 5.99 ft leads at 41% · 41¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 41%−1% | $44K | $7K | | |
| 49 | 32°C is very likely at 100% | Climate and Weather | 100%+41% | $40K | $62K | | |
| 50 | Denver, CO by November 30 is very likely at 96% · 99.4¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 96% | $40K | $13K | | |
Events per page:501–50 of 490 | |||||||