TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$141,643,948
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,730,654,154
483,803
Markets across
35,879
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,350
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What are the latest political prediction market odds?
Election & political predictions. Compare market odds and forecasts on political outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No clear favourite — Gavin Newsom leads at 16% · best 15¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 16%+1% | $1.57B | $76M | K   +1 | |
| 2 | No clear favourite — J.D. Vance leads at 38% · best 38.7¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 38%−1% | $816M | $51M | K +1 | |
| 3 | No clear favourite — J.D. Vance leads at 19% · best 19.2¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 19%−1% | $803M | $61M | K+1 | |
| 4 | No clear favourite — Marine Le Pen leads at 44% · best 44.4¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 44% | $160M | $20M | K+1 | |
| 5 | Democrats Sweep is likely at 65% · best 64¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 65% | $125M | $12M | K | |
| 6 | June 30, 2027 is likely at 71% · 84¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 71% | $125M | $97K | | |
| 7 | 2 markets active until resolution · 17 resolved | Politics | 56%−1% | $122M | $271K | K | |
| 8 | Xavier Becerra is very likely at 96% · best 96.1¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 96% | $112M | $8.1M | K | |
| 9 | Nicolás Maduro is likely at 81% · best 81¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 81%+6% | $105M | $2.7M | K+1 | |
| 10 | Democratic Party is very likely at 90% · best 82.7¢ on Opinion | Politics | 90% | $100M | $6.9M | K | |
| 11 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 9% · 9¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 9% | $77M | $227K | | |
| 12 | 19% chance this happens · best 18¢ on Limitless | Politics | 19% | $76M | $325K | | |
| 13 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 4% · 4¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 4% | $75M | $892K | | |
| 14 | Close call — Gadi Eizenkot at 55% · best 54¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 55%+2% | $60M | $3.2M | K | |
| 15 | James Talarico (D) is likely at 66% · best 66¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 66%+1% | $51M | $1.0M | K | |
| 16 | Before Jan 1, 2029 is slightly favoured at 60% · 60¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 60%+1% | $48M | N/A | K | |
| 17 | 2% chance this happens · best 2¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 2%−5% | $45M | $420K | | |
| 18 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 36% · 38¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 36% | $43M | $318K | K | |
| 19 | March 31 is slightly favoured at 61% · 61¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 61%+2% | $43M | $399K | | |
| 20 | Mojtaba Khamenei is very likely at 86% · 86.1¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 86%+1% | $40M | $1.8M | | |
| 21 | October 24 is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 100% | $40M | $362K | | |
| 22 | 2% chance this happens · best 2.4¢ on Predict | Politics | 2% | $40M | $191K | | |
| 23 | No clear favourite — June 30, 2027 leads at 10% · 10¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 10% | $31M | $809K | | |
| 24 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 3% · 3.3¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 3% | $30M | $122K | | |
| 25 | No clear favourite — June 30, 2027 leads at 26% · 26¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 26% | $28M | $336K | | |
| 26 | 7% chance this happens · best 7¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 7%+1% | $28M | $453K | | |
| 27 | October 24 is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 100% | $27M | $804K | | |
| 28 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 3% · best 3.2¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 3% | $26M | $132K | | |
| 29 | 4% chance this happens · best 3.8¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 4%+1% | $26M | $168K | | |
| 30 | 0 (0 bps) is very likely at 96% · 96.2¢ on Predict | Politics | 96% | $24M | $535K | | |
| 31 | 2% chance this happens · best 2.4¢ on Predict | Politics | 2% | $24M | $168K | | |
| 32 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 5% · 6¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 5% | $18M | $135K | | |
| 33 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 16% · best 16¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 16% | $18M | $296K | | |
| 34 | 4% chance this happens · best 4.2¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 4%+2% | $17M | $381K | | |
| 35 | Politics | — | $16M | N/A | | ||
| 36 | 4% chance this happens · best 3.8¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 4%+1% | $16M | $307K | | |
| 37 | 12% chance this happens · best 12¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 12% | $16M | $506K | | |
| 38 | Democratic Party is likely at 66% · best 66¢ on Predict | Politics | 66%+2% | $16M | $2.7M | K | |
| 39 | 4% chance this happens · Yes at 3.9¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 4% | $15M | N/A | K | |
| 40 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 4% · 4.3¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 4% | $14M | $69K | | |
| 41 | Troy Jackson (D) is slightly favoured at 60% · best 60¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 60% | $14M | $495K | K | |
| 42 | Democratic party is likely at 69% · best 68.5¢ on Predict | Politics | 69%+2% | $13M | $750K | K | |
| 43 | No clear favourite — Before January 20, 2029 leads at 27% · 27¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 27%+1% | $12M | N/A | K | |
| 44 | 3% chance this happens · best 3.4¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 3% | $12M | $64K | | |
| 45 | No clear favourite — None before 2027 leads at 45% · 45¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 45%−5% | $11M | $637K | K | |
| 46 | Sherrod Brown (D) is likely at 68% · best 68¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 68% | $10M | $503K | K | |
| 47 | No clear favourite — December 31, 2026 leads at 5% · 5¢ on Opinion | Politics | 5% | $10M | N/A | K | |
| 48 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 1, 2028 leads at 22% · 21¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 22% | $10M | N/A | K | |
| 49 | December 31, 2027 is likely at 71% · 71¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 71% | $9.8M | $1.2M | | |
| 50 | Ric Grenell is likely at 67% · 71¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 67% | $9.7M | $66K | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 3,232 | |||||||