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334,440

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

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California Governor Election Winner
polymarket
predict

Who will win the California Governor election?

Oct 9, 2025, 7:29 PM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$44,851,557
Volume 24h:
$174,715
66%
Liquidity:
$13,208,463
2%
Open interest:
$829,752N/A

Xavier Becerra

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 95.3¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 29% 67 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Xavier Becerra

Trade
95%
Yes 95.3¢No 4.8¢
0.1¢
$76,506
$1,855,219
0.24%
0.81%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
predict

Xavier Becerra

Trade
95%
Yes 95.3¢No 4.9¢
0.2¢
$6,032,475
$66,719
8%
11%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
95%
Yes 95.3¢No 4.9¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
predict

Alex Padilla

Trade
50%
Yes 99.8¢No 99.9¢
99.7¢
$34,642
$1,189,455
15%
1,208%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Alex Padilla

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$345,352
$1,996,501
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
25%
Yes 50¢No 100¢
Avg: 99.7¢Max: 99.7¢
predict

Daniel Mercuri

Trade
15%
Yes 29.9¢No 99.8¢
29.7¢
$31,371
$142,305
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Daniel Mercuri

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$329,780
$1,396,558
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7.5%
Yes 15¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 29.7¢Max: 29.7¢
predict

Nicole Shanahan

Trade
15%
Yes 29.9¢No 99.8¢
29.7¢
$35,649
$67,862
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Nicole Shanahan

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$325,768
$1,778,283
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7.5%
Yes 15¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 29.7¢Max: 29.7¢
predict

Eric Swalwell

Trade
15%
Yes 29.9¢No 99.8¢
29.7¢
$2,814
$39,099
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Eric Swalwell

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$300,412
$1,497,145
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7.5%
Yes 15¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 29.7¢Max: 29.7¢
predict

Michael Younger

Trade
14%
Yes 28.8¢No 99.9¢
28.7¢
$33,850
$37,882
0%
0.02%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Michael Younger

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$341,313
$1,546,580
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7%
Yes 14.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 28.7¢Max: 28.7¢
predict

Katie Porter

Trade
10%
Yes 19.6¢No 99.9¢
19.5¢
$31,118
$244,371
0%
0.11%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Katie Porter

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$289,876
$1,770,116
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 100¢
Avg: 19.5¢Max: 19.5¢
polymarket

Steve Hilton

Trade
5%
Yes 4.8¢No 95.3¢
0.1¢
$149,160
$2,690,873
0.13%
0.36%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
predict

Steve Hilton

Trade
5%
Yes 4.5¢No 95.6¢
0.1¢
$126,197
$132,984
5%
7%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 4.7¢No 95.4¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Matt Mahan

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.9¢
0.7¢
$33,341
$11,488
0%
135%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Matt Mahan

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$114,277
$1,370,078
0.12%
0.12%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 0.7¢
predict

Rick Caruso

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$29,901
$218,308
0.02%
0.08%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Rick Caruso

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$345,339
$1,797,366
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Antonio Villaraigosa

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$30,742
$380,081
0%
63%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Antonio Villaraigosa

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$302,819
$1,617,980
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Butch Ware

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$30,758
$301,707
0%
91%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Butch Ware

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$349,765
$1,313,394
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Eleni Kounalakis

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$30,791
$281,317
0.01%
807%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 46

Description

This event group tracks the 2026 California gubernatorial election winner across multiple markets. All markets resolve based on the candidate who wins the election scheduled for November 3, 2026, with a fallback to 'Other' if results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution logic: consensus among AP, Fox News, and NBC, with official certification as the backup, and a July 31, 2027 deadline for confirmation.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; official certification as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs when all three sources (AP, Fox News, NBC) call the race for the same candidate
  • If no consensus by July 31, 2027, market resolves to 'Other'
  • Official certification is used if sources disagree

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Consensus by Deadline: Market resolves to 'Other' regardless of who may later be certified the winner
  • Source Disagreement: Official certification determines the resolution if the three sources do not agree
Timing: Resolution occurs no later than July 31, 2027Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Predict

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.