TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$141,643,948
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,730,654,154
483,803
Markets across
35,879
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,350
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Who's leading in election prediction markets?
Election predictions & political odds. See where prediction markets stand on electoral outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Democratic Party is likely at 65% · 65¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 65%+2% | $20M | N/A | K | |
| 2 | Magdalena Andersson is likely at 72% · best 72¢ on Polymarket | Elections | 72% | $11M | $1.2M |  K | |
| 3 | No clear favourite — Above 52 leads at 39% · 39¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 39% | $7.4M | N/A | K | |
| 4 | No clear favourite — Above 249 leads at 18% · 19¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 18% | $4.2M | N/A | K | |
| 5 | Democratic party is likely at 74% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 74%−2% | $3.5M | N/A | K | |
| 6 | Close call — James Talarico and Troy Jackson at 52% · 52¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 52%+3% | $2.8M | N/A | K | |
| 7 | Abdul El-Sayed is likely at 66% · 68¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 66% | $2.8M | N/A | K | |
| 8 | Democratic party is very likely at 96% · 96.5¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96% | $2.6M | N/A | K | |
| 9 | Olivia Chow is very likely at 100% | Elections | 100%+17% | $1.6M | N/A | K | |
| 10 | No clear favourite — Kansas leads at 16% · 15¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 16%+1% | $1.4M | $178K | K | |
| 11 | Democrats, 1+ pts is slightly favoured at 62% · 63¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 62%−3% | $1.2M | N/A | K | |
| 12 | Below 53 is slightly favoured at 62% · 62¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 62% | $893K | N/A | K | |
| 13 | Graham Platner wins is slightly favoured at 62% · 64¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 62% | $750K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | Republican party is slightly favoured at 56% · 56¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 56%+1% | $706K | N/A | K | |
| 15 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 3.9¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 2%−2% | $628K | N/A | K | |
| 16 | Democratic party is slightly favoured at 60% · 60¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 60% | $613K | N/A | K | |
| 17 | Talarico defeats Paxton is likely at 66% · 66¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 66%+1% | $568K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | Ted Cruz is very likely at 88% · 86¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 88% | $509K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | Close call — Democratic Sweep at 51% · 51¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 51%+1% | $474K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | No clear favourite — Republican Governor, Democratic Senator leads at 41% · 41¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 41%−1% | $339K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | 95% chance this happens · Yes at 99¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 95% | $325K | N/A | K | |
| 22 | No clear favourite — Kamala Harris v. JD Vance leads at 13% · 6.8¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 13% | $324K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | 4% chance this happens · Yes at 4.9¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 4%−1% | $274K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | No clear favourite — Labour party leads at 40% · 39¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 40% | $264K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | David Morales is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 98% | $262K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | Before Jan 1, 2029 is likely at 84% · 83¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 84% | $237K | N/A | K | |
| 27 | 7% chance this happens · Yes at 7¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 7%+1% | $222K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | Democratic party is very likely at 87% · 88¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 87% | $199K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | No clear favourite — Florida leads at 39% · 36¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 39% | $196K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | No clear favourite — Democratic by 9.0% or more leads at 22% · 22¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 22% | $178K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | No clear favourite — Georgia leads at 21% · best 20.3¢ on Polymarket | Elections | 21% | $174K | $193K | K | |
| 32 | 21% chance this happens · Yes at 23¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 21% | $172K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | Alexi Giannoulias is likely at 71% · 78¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 71% | $170K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | No clear favourite — Texas leads at 28% · 28¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 28% | $168K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | No clear favourite — Steve Scalise leads at 10% · 9.7¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 10% | $168K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | Mark Sutcliffe is very likely at 100% | Elections | 100%+9% | $162K | N/A | K | |
| 37 | No clear favourite — Before Election Day leads at 17% · 18¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 17% | $160K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | No clear favourite — Luis Antonio Tagle leads at 15% · 14¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 15% | $146K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | Chuck Schumer is likely at 72% · 73¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 72%−6% | $146K | N/A | K | |
| 40 | No clear favourite — Joe Kent leads at 2% · 6.5¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 2% | $145K | N/A | K | |
| 41 | No clear favourite — JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom leads at 9% · 12¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 9% | $141K | N/A | K | |
| 42 | Exactly 0 is very likely at 94% · 94.6¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 94%−1% | $134K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | Acton, 1+ pts is likely at 77% · 80¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 77% | $129K | N/A | K | |
| 44 | Gadi Eisenkot is likely at 67% · 67¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 67%+7% | $129K | N/A | K | |
| 45 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 1, 2027 leads at 0% · 5.9¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 0% | $122K | N/A | K | |
| 46 | No clear favourite — Republicans, 1+ pts leads at 37% · 37¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 37%−1% | $120K | N/A | K | |
| 47 | 5% chance this happens · Yes at 8.4¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 5% | $120K | N/A | K | |
| 48 | No clear favourite — Democratic sweep leads at 37% · 38¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 37% | $119K | N/A | K | |
| 49 | Dominique de Villepin is likely at 72% · 81¢ on Polymarket | Elections | 72%+2% | $118K | $154K | | |
| 50 | No clear favourite — JD Vance and Marco Rubio leads at 25% · 27¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 25% | $112K | N/A | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 2,380 | |||||||