TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$141,643,948
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,730,654,154
483,803
Markets across
35,879
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,350
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What are economics prediction markets pricing in?
Economic predictions & market forecasts. Compare odds on inflation, growth, and macroeconomic trends. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 (0 bps) is very likely at 96% · best 94.8¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $173M | $3.6M | K  | |
| 2 | 94% chance this happens · Yes at 94.6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 94% | $32M | N/A | K | |
| 3 | 20% chance this happens · Yes at 20¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 20% | $26M | N/A | K | |
| 4 | No clear favourite — At least 4.5% leads at 21% · 21.1¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 21% | $10M | N/A | K | |
| 5 | 4% chance this happens · best 3¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 4%−2% | $7.9M | $66K | K | |
| 6 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 13% · 14¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 13% | $3.6M | $54K | | |
| 7 | No clear favourite — Above $4.60 leads at 39% · 39¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 39% | $1.9M | N/A | K | |
| 8 | 6% chance this happens · Yes at 6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 6%+3% | $1.6M | N/A | K | |
| 9 | No clear favourite — Above 4.5% leads at 15% · 14¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 15%+3% | $1.4M | $27K | K | |
| 10 | No clear favourite — More than $1.4 trillion leads at 15% · 16¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 15% | $1.4M | N/A | K | |
| 11 | Hike 25bps is likely at 75% · 75¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 75% | $1.4M | N/A | K | |
| 12 | No clear favourite — 5.3% leads at 42% · 43¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 42%−4% | $1.1M | $146K |  | |
| 13 | 77% chance this happens · Yes at 77¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 77% | $1.1M | $252K | | |
| 14 | Above 3.50 is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $987K | N/A | K | |
| 15 | 4.0–5.0% is very likely at 96% · 97.2¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 96%+1% | $944K | $115K | | |
| 16 | Above 0.0% is very likely at 98% | Economics | 98% | $885K | $26K | K | |
| 17 | No clear favourite — Above 91,500 MW leads at 5% · 6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 5% | $884K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | 21% chance this happens · Yes at 21¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 21%+1% | $756K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | Above 0.0% is very likely at 95% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 95%+1% | $718K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | 3% chance this happens · Yes at 2.9¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 3% | $686K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | Above 81,000 jobs is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 97% | $639K | N/A | K | |
| 22 | Above 3.2% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $615K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | Above $5.60 is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $533K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | No clear favourite — Q1 2026 leads at 9% · 5.3¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 9% | $521K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | 0 cuts is very likely at 95% · 98.1¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 95%−1% | $520K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | 2.1 to 2.5 is likely at 68% · 69.9¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 68% | $519K | $7K | K | |
| 27 | Above 3.7000 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99%+2% | $508K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | Hike–Pause–Hike is likely at 74% · 75¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 74% | $498K | $220K | | |
| 29 | No clear favourite — Above $6.60 leads at 31% · 32¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 31% | $490K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | Above 3.75% is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $487K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | Above 3.50% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $469K | N/A | K | |
| 32 | Above 235,000 jobs is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $455K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 12% · 12¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 12% | $447K | $2K | | |
| 34 | Above 125 bu/acre is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $435K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | Above 5.6 million barrels/day is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $373K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | Above 0.0% is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $370K | $18K | K | |
| 37 | Above 3.1% is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $355K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | Above $3,800 is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $332K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | Above 4.1 million is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $331K | N/A | K | |
| 40 | 2% chance this happens · best 2¢ on Predict | Economics | 2% | $326K | $21K | | |
| 41 | Above 3.50 is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $299K | N/A | K | |
| 42 | Above 2.2% is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $296K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | Fed maintains rate is likely at 67% · 67¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 67% | $288K | N/A | K | |
| 44 | Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) is very likely at 95% · best 95¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 95% | $287K | $40K | K | |
| 45 | No clear favourite — At least 250 billion leads at 8% · 7.6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 8% | $279K | N/A | K | |
| 46 | Above 87.5 TWh is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $275K | N/A | K | |
| 47 | Below 4.70% is likely at 66% · 67¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 66%−7% | $270K | $35K | | |
| 48 | No clear favourite — Above $4.20 leads at 37% · 27¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 37%−2% | $254K | N/A | K | |
| 49 | Above 8.4 million TEUs is very likely at 96% · 96¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $244K | N/A | K | |
| 50 | Above $4.40 is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $241K | N/A | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 610 | |||||||