TOTAL VOLUME:

$66b

24H VOL:

$398,877,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

647,445,881

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,477,629,845

622,934

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MATCHED EVENTS:

1,257

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4

Polymarket:

49%

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51%

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What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$64,636
Volume 24h:
$511
184%
Liquidity:
$18,844
18%
Open interest:
$21,483
0%

Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?

Amount

$

$20

$50

$100

$500

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on

At 39¢ buys you 256 shares | Odds: 39% Total Payout: $256 | Net Profit: $156 Multiplier: 2.56x | ROI: 156% | APY: 472% Low liquidity 197 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Intro

This market tracks whether the Dubai Financial Market Real Estate Index will reach 14,000 during 2026, measured against TradingView one-minute candle data. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Limitless stands at 72.0% for a yes resolution. The resolution source is the DFM Real Estate Index Low values on TradingView, with settlement occurring on the first trading day of 2027 based on whether any one-minute candle closes at or below the 14,000 level by December 31, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Candle granularity (1-day vs 1-minute) and timezone (UTC vs ET) create different observation windows and settlement moments. The same price action may resolve differently on each platform.

Hero Tip:

Polymarket catches intraday wicks; Limitless only sees daily closes. A spike to 18,000 intraday but close below 16,910.30 resolves YES on Polymarket and NO on Limitless. Watch both the daily candle close and intraday extremes. Also account for the 4-5 hour timezone offset between UTC and ET deadlines.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Limitless:

    Uses 1-day candle High on TradingView, UTC timezone, deadline December 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Resolves YES only if finalized daily High strictly exceeds 16,910.30. Misses intraday spikes that do not persist to daily close.

  • Polymarket:

    Uses 1-minute candle High (for upside) or Low (for downside) on TradingView, ET timezone, deadline December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. Resolves YES if any single 1-minute candle touches the target level, even if intraday. Captures all price touches regardless of daily settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

Limitless

This market will resolve to “YES” if the finalized “High” price of the TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI) 1-day candle for Dubai Real Estate Index is strictly greater than 16,910.30 on or before December 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “NO.“

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.16.4PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.