TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$141,643,948
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,730,654,154
483,803
Markets across
35,879
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,350
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 23% · 24¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 23% | $41M | N/A | K | |
| 2 | Anthropic is likely at 76% · 87¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 76%+6% | $16M | $70K | ||
| 3 | 4% chance this happens · best 3.7¢ on Predict | Science and Technology | 4% | $5.4M | $126K | ![]() ![]() | |
| 4 | 3% chance this happens · best 4¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 3% | $4.3M | $31K | ![]() | |
| 5 | 98% chance this happens · best 98.6¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 98% | $4.3M | $6K | ![]() | |
| 6 | No clear favourite — June 30, 2027 leads at 23% · 23¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 23% | $3.1M | $53K | ||
| 7 | Close call — Anthropic at 54% · 54¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 54%+1% | $3.1M | $1.3M | ||
| 8 | 2% chance this happens · best 1.7¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 2% | $2.7M | $57K | ![]() | |
| 9 | 1% chance this happens · best 1.3¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 1% | $2.7M | $21K | ![]() | |
| 10 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 2.8¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 2% | $2.0M | N/A | K | |
| 11 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 27% · 27¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 27%+5% | $1.8M | $3K | ||
| 12 | 14–16 is slightly favoured at 61% · 76¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 61%+23% | $1.5M | $3K | ||
| 13 | Anthropic is likely at 81% · 81¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 81%+3% | $1.2M | N/A | K | |
| 14 | No clear favourite — 1 leads at 49% · 68¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 49%+1% | $1.2M | $6K | ||
| 15 | No clear favourite — OpenAI leads at 13% · 16¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 13%−4% | $1.2M | N/A | K | |
| 16 | No clear favourite — December 31, 2027 leads at 21% · best 23¢ on Predict | Science and Technology | 21% | $1.2M | $51K | ![]() | |
| 17 | Before 2030 is slightly favoured at 64% · 64.7¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 64% | $1.1M | N/A | K | |
| 18 | Above 120 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $1.1M | $7K | K | |
| 19 | No clear favourite — December 31, 2027 leads at 48% · 49¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 48%−7% | $1.1M | $30K | ||
| 20 | December 31 is very likely at 94% · 95.4¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 94% | $1.1M | $29K | ||
| 21 | 4% chance this happens · Yes at 4¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 4% | $1.0M | N/A | K | |
| 22 | 4% chance this happens · Yes at 5.4¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 4% | $837K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | Gemini is very likely at 88% · 89¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 88%+1% | $685K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | No clear favourite — Earbuds/Headphones leads at 13% · best 8¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 13%+4% | $624K | $37K | ||
| 25 | No clear favourite — Before 2030 leads at 38% · 44¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 38%−4% | $583K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | No clear favourite — At least 1540 score leads at 47% · best 36.9¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 47%−1% | $565K | $6K | ![]() | |
| 27 | No clear favourite — Before Dec 1, 2026 leads at 18% · 18¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 18% | $554K | N/A | ||
| 28 | Above 3 is very likely at 91% · 96¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 91% | $542K | $13K | K | |
| 29 | No clear favourite — December 31, 2026 leads at 20% · 20¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 20%+3% | $491K | $16K | ||
| 30 | Central African Republic is slightly favoured at 57% · 57¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 57% | $488K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | No clear favourite — above 1495 leads at 26% · best 21¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 26% | $461K | $22K | ||
| 32 | 1% chance this happens · Yes at 1.4¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 1% | $450K | $9K | ||
| 33 | Denver, CO is very likely at 92% · 94¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 92% | $448K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | 7% chance this happens · Yes at 8¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 7%−4% | $445K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | Above 7 is very likely at 99% | Science and Technology | 99% | $443K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | 12% chance this happens · Yes at 15¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 12%−4% | $424K | N/A | K | |
| 37 | No clear favourite — Before Dec 31, 2026 leads at 46% · 48¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 46%−11% | $370K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | Before 2035 is likely at 78% · 87.8¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 78% | $350K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | None in 2026 is likely at 67% · 71¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 67% | $349K | $19K | K![]() | |
| 40 | 13% chance this happens · Yes at 14¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 13% | $340K | $26K | ||
| 41 | 15% chance this happens · Yes at 18¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 15% | $331K | N/A | K | |
| 42 | No release by November 1 is very likely at 98% · 98.4¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 98%+1% | $330K | $4K | ||
| 43 | 17% chance this happens · Yes at 19¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 17%+7% | $316K | $790 | ||
| 44 | Before 2028 is likely at 72% · 67¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 72% | $305K | $42K | ||
| 45 | Before Apr 2027 is likely at 70% · 69¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 70% | $287K | N/A | K | |
| 46 | No clear favourite — #3 leads at 22% · 22¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 22%−2% | $287K | $31K | ||
| 47 | Before Jan 1, 2030 is likely at 81% · 82¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 81% | $275K | N/A | K | |
| 48 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 1, 2027 leads at 21% · 20¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 21%−3% | $263K | N/A | K | |
| 49 | No clear favourite — 1560 leads at 35% · 36¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 35%−3% | $242K | $7K | ||
| 50 | 4% chance this happens · Yes at 5.1¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 4%−1% | $215K | $7K | ||
Events per page:501–50 of 264 | |||||||