TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.4b
24H VOL:
$84,693,105
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,160,905,929
334,600
Markets across
33,274
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,541
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
What are science and technology prediction markets pricing in?
Science and technology prediction market odds aggregated from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Track AI launches, space missions, research breakthroughs, and technology milestones. Read more...
Trending
View moreLive · Breaking
View moreSamsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes: First Inning Run?
−97 ptslast hour
Insights
View allWar Index
Indices31.6/ 100
watchful
24H ↑ 0.27D ↑ 1.0
A rise isn't inherently "good".
#
Event
% Chance
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Ends in
Trade
| # | Event | % Chance | Price | Liquidity | Volume | 24h | 7d | Ends in | Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grok 5 released by...?  | 13 markets | $6,108 | $181,998 | +88% | +564% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 2 | How many launches will SpaceX have in August? | 9 markets | N/A | $787,086 | +13% | +78% | Trade | |||
| 3 | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 22 markets | $70,388 | $9,358,843 | +0.49% | +3% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 4 | Stealth market share this week | 9 markets | N/A | $33,891 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 5 | GPT-6 released by…? | 13 markets | $50,344 | $1,603,253 | +2% | +9% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 6 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | 6 markets | $497 | $59,688 | +56% | +496% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 7 | Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? | 9 markets | N/A | $35,775,426 | +0.07% | +0.85% | Trade | |||
| 8 | Gemini 4.0 released by...? | 19 markets | $39,767 | $281,680 | N/A | +45% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 9 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by…? | 16 markets | $84,905 | $277,830 | +11% | +127% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 10 | When will xAI release Grok 5? | 8 markets | $13,757 | $143,622 | +13% | +35% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 11 | Best AI model on August 24? | 10 markets | $8,502 | $139,466 | +12% | +89% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 12 | When will OpenAI achieve AGI? | 5 markets | N/A | $650,408 | +0.01% | +3% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 13 | OpenAI market share this week | 6 markets | N/A | $12,558 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 14 | OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 24–30 | 8 markets | N/A | $13,333 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 15 | Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31? | 21 markets | $8,480 | $156,277 | +7% | +11% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 16 | Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September? | 28 markets | $10,654 | $132,053 | +7% | +20% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 17 | Best AI model on September 7? | 4 markets | $3,012 | $12,518 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 18 | Most popular AI this week | 8 markets | N/A | $12,148 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 19 | When will OpenAI release GPT-6? | 12 markets | $0 | $480,775 | +1% | +10% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 20 | Top Chinese AI Company this month | 9 markets | N/A | $40,499 | +0.49% | +29% | Trade | |||
| 21 | Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? | 32 markets | $25,748 | $311,849 | +0.57% | +12% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 22 | When will any company achieve AGI? | 13 markets | N/A | $97,352 | 0% | +6% | Trade | |||
| 23 | Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?'%3e%3ccircle%20cx='26'%20cy='26'%20r='26'%20fill='%23000'/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23fff'%20d='M27.6629%2037.9855L31.004%2037.6925L32.1989%2051.3689C33.72%2051.027%2035.2073%2050.5486%2036.6425%2049.9395V37.8085H40.7697V47.7178C42.4942%2046.577%2044.0775%2045.236%2045.4865%2043.7226L46.0172%2037.6591L49.5548%2037.9678C51.5707%2034.0725%2052.5697%2029.7306%2052.4591%2025.3456C52.3484%2020.9605%2051.1317%2016.6746%2048.9219%2012.886L48.7903%2014.392L44.6631%2014.0303L45.1937%207.97067C43.8569%206.58147%2042.3706%205.34447%2040.7619%204.28222V14.2406H36.6347V2.06247C34.8743%201.313%2033.0358%200.762345%2031.1533%200.420753L32.3463%2014.0637L29.0052%2014.3566L27.7513%200.0314647C27.3308%200.0118035%2026.9062%200%2026.4817%200C24.8262%204.44017e-06%2023.1745%200.157349%2021.5487%200.469906L23.9072%2013.8985L21.364%2014.3468L19.0253%201.0853C16.8454%201.73668%2014.7611%202.67345%2012.8266%203.87129L15.4601%2013.7019L13.4634%2014.2387L11.0146%205.09226C9.12509%206.49278%207.43337%208.1422%205.98527%209.99577L7.26077%2013.5014L5.80446%2014.0322L4.88665%2011.5097C3.41845%2013.6953%202.29182%2016.092%201.54558%2018.6172L1.95829%2018.4678L7.2647%2033.0387L5.80839%2033.5696L1.06407%2020.5303C-0.0225105%2025.6016%200.430464%2030.8821%202.36486%2035.6941C4.29926%2040.5061%207.62683%2044.6301%2011.9206%2047.5369L9.45605%2038.3355L11.4528%2037.7987L14.4677%2049.0567C16.5333%2050.1354%2018.7355%2050.9291%2021.0142%2051.4161L18.6892%2038.1605L21.2343%2037.7122L23.7283%2051.8683C24.6462%2051.9654%2025.5686%2052.014%2026.4916%2052.0138C27.2954%2052.0138%2028.0933%2051.9764%2028.8795%2051.9037L27.6629%2037.9855Z'%20/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20d='M46.0368%2018.1276L50.1542%2018.4875L48.804%2033.9372L44.6768%2033.5774L46.0368%2018.1276ZM36.6484%2018.279H40.7756V33.7858H36.6484V18.279ZM31.0099%2018.1611L32.3601%2033.6109L29.019%2033.9038L27.6668%2018.454L31.0099%2018.1611ZM13.481%2033.7898L9.4698%2018.8099L11.4666%2018.2751L15.4778%2033.2452L13.481%2033.7898ZM21.3817%2033.892L18.6892%2018.6211L21.2343%2018.1729L23.9248%2033.4418L21.3817%2033.892Z'%20/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 30 markets | $9,127 | $59,063 | +9% | +31% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 24 | Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Aug 31, 2026? | 20 markets | N/A | $19,482 | +7% | +130% | Trade | |||
| 25 | Tencent market share this week | 6 markets | N/A | $4,553 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 26 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | 18% | Yes 22¢ / No 86¢ | $5,011 | $100,384 | +0.52% | +6% | Trade | ||
| 27 | Best AI model on August 31? | 15 markets | $4,229 | $21,196 | +23% | +220% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 28 | Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? | 24 markets | $38,774 | $1,120,060 | +0.33% | +4% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 29 | NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Aug 28, 2026? | 15% | Yes 16¢ / No 91¢ | N/A | $8,567 | N/A | N/A | Trade | ||
| 30 | Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Aug 31, 2026? | 20 markets | N/A | $48,224 | +15% | +94% | Trade | |||
| 31 | How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 7 markets | $29,012 | $331,113 | 0% | +2% | Trade | |||
| 32 | Next Gemini Pro model release | 7 markets | N/A | $2,670 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 4% | Yes 4.2¢ / No 95.9¢ | $277,557 | $3,948,493 | +0.1% | +3% | Trade | ||
| 34 | Xiaomi market share this week | 6 markets | N/A | $2,653 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 35 | When will Anthropic release Mythos? | 8 markets | N/A | $1,527,711 | +0.27% | +0.88% | Trade | |||
| 36 | SpaceX Starship 14th launch? | 5 markets | N/A | $131,849 | +4% | +26% | Trade | |||
| 37 | Total space launches in August | 8 markets | N/A | $35,544 | +32% | +965% | Trade | |||
| 38 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...? | 2 markets | $1,236 | $2,827 | 0% | +1,444% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 39 | Gemini market share this week | 6 markets | N/A | $2,295 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 40 | Qwen market share this week | 6 markets | N/A | $1,983 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 41 | How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | 18 markets | $8,687 | $509,731 | +0.39% | +3% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 42 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | 99% | Yes 99.3¢ / No 1.1¢ | $15,154 | $175,127 | +0.01% | +1% | Trade | ||
| 43 | Tesla Optimus released this year? | 8% | Yes 8¢ / No 93¢ | N/A | $354,373 | +0.2% | +2% | Trade | ||
| 44 | GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026? | 7 markets | $6,147 | $44,571 | 0% | +8% | Trade | |||
| 45 | How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? | 9 markets | N/A | $600,354 | +0.48% | +7% | Trade | |||
| 46 | Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Aug 31, 2026? | 20 markets | N/A | $10,329 | +3% | +26% | Trade | |||
| 47 | Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer? | 5 markets | N/A | $11,486 | +0.01% | +41% | Trade | |||
| 48 | AI capability growth this year? | 9 markets | N/A | $93,237 | +0.89% | +4% | Trade | |||
| 49 | Next Gemini Flash model release | 7 markets | N/A | $1,365 | N/A | N/A | Trade | |||
| 50 | Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30? | 14 markets | $5,871 | $160,322 | +0.81% | +3% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| Events per page: 50 · 1–50 of 227 | ||||||||||