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24H VOL:

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24H TRANSACTIONS:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

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MATCHED EVENTS:

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How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
kalshi

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Sep 30, 2026, 11:00 AM EST - Nov 7, 2026, 9:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$443,018
Volume 24h:
$17,497
0.18%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$195,355
3%

Above 7

 - Kalshi

Above 7 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 11d:03h:45m

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 40% Illiquid market 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 7

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$8,332
0%
59%
$4,428
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 8

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$27,781
8%
63%
$13,480
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 6

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$6,100
0%
23%
$4,007
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 9

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$34,816
3%
42%
$18,206
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 10

Trade
86%
1%
Yes 87¢No 14¢
1¢
N/A
$124,070
0.94%
19%
$45,088
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 11

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$126,169
9%
69%
$42,231
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 12

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$67,142
4%
98%
$42,361
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 13

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$27,334
0%
65%
$11,355
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 14

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$14,068
0%
124%
$8,795
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 16

Trade
1%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$4,827
0%
488%
$4,286
1w 4d 3h
active
kalshi

Above 15

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,378
0%
31%
$1,117
1w 4d 3h
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the frequency of SpaceX's operational rocket launches during October 2026. It evaluates whether the company conducts a high number of missions within that specific month, reflecting potential capacity, scheduling efficiency, and operational tempo.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple sequential thresholds for SpaceX's total number of launches in October 2026, structured as a series of binary outcomes. Each rule defines a distinct 'Yes' condition based on whether the total launches exceed a specific numerical threshold, ranging from more than 6 up to more than 16 launches. All rules share the same resolution criterion: the actual count of launches during the month determines outcomes. If the actual number of launches meets or exceeds any of the thresholds defined in the rules, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds are evaluated independently, meaning each rule resolves based solely on its defined condition without dependency on other rules. The collective set of rules allows participants to assess probabilities across a spectrum of possible launch volumes, from moderate to exceptionally high activity levels, within the defined timeframe.