TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
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All
Economics
Bank of England decision in December?
polymarket
kalshi

Bank of England decision in December?

Total volume:
$34,633
Volume 24h:
$4,702
692%
Liquidity:
$9,880
61%
Open interest:
$12,872
8%

Maintain current rate

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 17, 2026

Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

59%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 57¢ buys you 175 shares | Odds: 59% Total Payout: $175 | Net Profit: $75 Multiplier: 1.75x | ROI: 75% High Projected APY: 5,485% 51 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maintain current rate

Trade
59%
5%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
2¢
N/A
$6,296
2%
47%
$5,665
1mo 3w
active
polymarket

No change

57%
1%
Yes 58¢No 44¢
2¢
$2,340
$12,505
7%
70%
N/A
1mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
57.7%
Yes 57.5¢No 44.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

25 bps increase

37%
5%
Yes 38¢No 65¢
3¢
$1,994
$4,103
114%
278%
N/A
1mo 3w
active
kalshi

Hike 1-25bps

32%
Yes 36¢No 67¢
3¢
N/A
$4,351
24%
37%
$3,536
1mo 3w
active
kalshi

Hike more than 25bps

9%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$1,661
5%
66%
$1,196
1mo 3w
active
polymarket

50+ bps increase

5%
1%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
$2,330
$700
9%
36%
N/A
1mo 3w
active
polymarket

25 bps decrease

3%
Yes 4.9¢No 98.1¢
3¢
$1,460
$516
43%
118%
N/A
1mo 3w
active
kalshi

Cut 1-25bps

3%
2%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$2,574
8%
14%
$1,857
1mo 3w
active
kalshi

Cut more than 25bps

2%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$935
0%
36%
$619
1mo 3w
active
polymarket

50+ bps decrease

1%
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.7¢
1.4¢
$1,756
$993
17%
226%
N/A
1mo 3w
active
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Kalshi

The resolution of all markets depends on the official policy rate decision announced by the Bank of England following its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Only changes to the primary policy rate are considered; multiple rates, if any, are disregarded except for the main one. If the scheduled meeting is cancelled or delayed beyond the contract's expiration date, the 'No change' market resolves to Yes, and all other markets resolve to No. Emergency rate adjustments occurring outside of scheduled meetings do not affect the resolution of these contracts. The basis point ranges specified in each market are inclusive, meaning that the exact boundary values (e.g., exactly 25 or 50 basis points) count toward the relevant outcome. The markets cover five possible actions: cutting rates by more than 25 basis points, cutting rates by 1-25 basis points, maintaining the current rate, hiking rates by 1-25 basis points, or hiking rates by more than 25 basis points. Each market resolves to Yes only if the actual decision matches its specific criteria; otherwise, it resolves to No.