TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Science and Technology
Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?
kalshi

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

Sep 30, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$986,846
Volume 24h:
$54,872
431%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$299,878
6%

Above 3.50

 - Kalshi

Above 3.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:03h:45m

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 150% Illiquid market 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$25,253
0%
0%
$10,426
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.00

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$62,689
4%
98%
$18,951
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.90

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$52,702
9%
90%
$16,215
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.10

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$44,040
0.26%
154%
$8,758
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.80

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$38,770
0%
64%
$16,098
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.60

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$16,161
0%
0%
$6,083
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.30

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$16,150
0%
0%
$6,555
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.70

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$15,086
0%
4%
$4,176
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.40

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$12,559
0.03%
0.03%
$6,015
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 2.50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$12,072
3%
3%
$10,588
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.00

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$8,659
0%
0%
$6,059
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 2.70

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$8,582
0%
0%
$8,582
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.20

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$8,490
0%
0%
$5,000
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 2.90

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$8,268
0%
0%
$7,258
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 3.10

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$6,875
0%
0%
$3,847
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 2.60

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$6,844
0%
0%
$5,750
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 2.80

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,477
0%
0%
$3,477
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.20

Trade
87%
1%
Yes 87¢No 14¢
1¢
N/A
$117,783
18%
282%
$21,455
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.30

Trade
7%
21%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$179,746
14%
379%
$42,737
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.40

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$96,330
6%
166%
$13,379
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.50

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$47,118
5%
58%
$13,777
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.70

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$43,327
0%
29%
$11,118
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.60

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$53,346
0.29%
104%
$13,475
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 5.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$48,113
0%
57%
$19,888
4d 3h 45m
active
kalshi

Above 4.90

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$30,433
0%
81%
$14,502
4d 3h 45m
active
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event tracks the potential rise in average regular gas prices across the United States by the end of October 2026. It reflects how global oil supply dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and domestic energy policies might influence consumer fuel costs. The outcome depends on whether prices cross specific thresholds set by a trusted data source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in the United States on October 31, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a distinct price threshold, ranging from $2.50 to $5.00. If the recorded average price exceeds a market's specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The structure allows participants to assess probabilities across a spectrum of possible price increases, with outcomes determined solely by the exact price level on the defined date.