TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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All
Economics
Core CPI MoM - October 2026
kalshi
polymarket

Core CPI MoM - October 2026

Total volume:
$7,752
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$8,116
5%
Open interest:
$1,287N/A

0.2%

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 17, 2026

Time left: 14d:18h:46m

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?

34%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 34¢ buys you 294 shares | Odds: 34% Total Payout: $294 | Net Profit: $194 Multiplier: 2.94x | ROI: 194% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 14 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

0.2%

Trade
34%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
1¢
$679
$2,812
0%
364%
N/A
2w 18h
active
kalshi

Above 0.2%

N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33.5%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
Avg: 49.5¢Max: 98¢
polymarket

0.3%

27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
$1,445
$1,669
0%
144%
N/A
2w 18h
active
kalshi

Above 0.3%

N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
Avg: 50¢Max: 98¢
polymarket

0.1%

19%
1%
Yes 21¢No 83¢
4¢
$812
$640
0%
312%
N/A
2w 18h
active
kalshi

Above 0.1%

N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
19%
Yes 21¢No 83¢
Avg: 51¢Max: 98¢
polymarket

0.4%

13%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
3¢
$775
$1,184
0%
109%
N/A
2w 18h
active
kalshi

Above 0.4%

N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12.5%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
Avg: 50.5¢Max: 98¢
polymarket

≤0.0%

6%
1%
Yes 6.9¢No 95.5¢
2.4¢
$1,231
$690
0%
45%
N/A
2w 18h
active
polymarket

0.5%

2%
Yes 3.4¢No 99.7¢
3.1¢
$941
$292
0%
108%
N/A
2w 18h
active
kalshi

Above 0.5%

N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.8%
Yes 3.4¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 50.6¢Max: 98¢
polymarket

0.6%+

1%
Yes 2.2¢No 99.8¢
2¢
$2,233
$464
0%
54%
N/A
2w 18h
active
kalshi

Above -0.1%

N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3h
active
kalshi

Above 0.0%

N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3h
active
Total markets: 14

Description

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in October 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Polymarket

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in October 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core goods CPI refers to commodities less food and energy commodities within the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average. The resolution uses the percentage change figure from the first BLS CPI release reporting October 2026 data, maintained at its published precision without recalculation from index levels. Subsequent revisions, including adjustments to seasonal factors, do not alter the resolution. Multiple outcome thresholds (ranging from above -0.1% to above 0.5%) determine whether the market resolves to Yes, with each threshold representing a progressively higher inflation indication in core goods prices for that month.