TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Milton, ON Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Milton, ON Mayoral?

Total volume:
$37,906
Volume 24h:
$4,775
268%
Liquidity:
$14,801
86%
Open interest:
$12,547
6%

George Minakakis

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 15, 2026

Will George Minakakis win the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election?

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% | APY: 59% Illiquid market 49 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

George Minakakis

Trade
94%
74%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$291
43%
43%
$162
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

George Minakakis

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$14,801
$1,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99%
Yes 100¢No 0.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Nadeem Akbar

Trade
4%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$7,944
0%
0%
$2,408
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Nadeem Akbar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.9%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Asif Khan

Trade
3%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,050
0%
3%
$2,000
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Asif Khan

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Gord Krantz

Trade
10%
49%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,063
101%
317%
$697
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Gord Krantz

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.4%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Arjun Joshi

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,399
0%
0%
$2,000
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Arjun Joshi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Chéz Amun

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,152
32%
32%
$3,000
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Che'z Amun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Abdulkareem Akbik

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,399
0%
0%
$2,000
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Abdulkareem Akbik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Sameera Ali

Trade
3%
17%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$280
250%
N/A
$280
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Sameera Ali

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.3%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Maliha K. Ahmed

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Maliha K. Ahmed

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Zainab Azim

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Zainab Azim

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Person A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 47

Description

This group forecasts the winner of the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election. Markets exist on Polymarket and Kalshi, each offering individual markets for numerous candidates and an 'Other' option. Resolution will be based on official election results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same core criterion: the official winner of the 2026 Milton mayoral election.Primary resolution logic: Official information from Milton, Ontario.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2026 Milton mayoral election.
  • If no candidate receives a majority, the market resolves to the candidate who ultimately wins the election based on the official election process.
  • If the election result is not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: In the event of a tie, the market will resolve according to the official resolution of the tie by the Milton, Ontario election authorities.
  • Candidate Withdrawal: If a candidate withdraws before the election, the market will remain open, and the outcome will still be based on the final official election results.
  • Election Delay: If the election is delayed, the resolution date will be adjusted accordingly, but the resolution criteria will remain the same.
Timing: The market will resolve once the official results of the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election are announced, or by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if no official results are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Milton, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Milton, Ontario.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the named candidate wins the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election. All markets are eligible for accelerated resolution upon a consensus of media calls confirming the election outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Milton mayoral election can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Differences in market design, such as the types of contracts offered or margin requirements, can also contribute to discrepancies. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information and varying risk appetites among traders on each platform can lead to distinct price movements. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why prices aren't always identical.

This market resolves around Dec 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Milton mayoral election, as declared by the official election authorities, will determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results, and any recounts or legal challenges will be considered in determining the final outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the verified results.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Dec 15, 2026. Major endorsements, significant fundraising announcements, or unexpected policy proposals from candidates could all shift market sentiment. Debates and public appearances offering a clear contrast between the candidates would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, any unforeseen events impacting the town of Milton, or broader political developments, could influence traders’ perceptions of the likely winner. Changes in polling data, while not always directly reflected, can also indirectly affect trading activity in this market.