TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Mississauga Mayoral?

Total volume:
$68,800
Volume 24h:
$15,152
71%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$8,040
32%

Alvin Tedjo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 24, 2027

Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 4% Illiquid market 89 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alvin Tedjo

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$2,648
72%
266%
$2,088
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Alvin Tedjo

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99.8%
Yes 100¢No 0.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Karam Ahmed

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Aamir Bhatti

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Gord Elliott

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Frank Fang

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Amjad Jilani

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Mohsin Khan

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Mike Matulewicz

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Fadi Naami

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

David Shaw

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$250
0%
0%
$250
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Bonnie Crombie

Trade
1%
69%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,280
83%
258%
$1,630
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Bonnie Crombie

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Carolyn Parrish

Trade
1%
26%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,301
9%
51%
$1,464
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Carolyn Parrish

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Dipika Damerla

Trade
3%
Yes 24¢No 100¢
24¢
N/A
$631
0%
9%
$359
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Dipika Damerla

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 12¢No 100¢
Avg: 24¢Max: 24¢
polymarket

George Tavares

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rahul Mehta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zulfiqar Ali

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This group forecasts the winner of the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election. The markets assess the probability of various candidates winning the election, with resolution based on the official results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets do not explicitly account for a winner outside of the listed candidates, while Polymarket does with an 'Other' option.Hero tip: Consider the possibility of an unlisted candidate winning on Kalshi and adjust your positions accordingly. Polymarket's 'Other' market provides a hedge against this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the candidate who becomes mayor, with an 'Other' option if no listed candidate wins or results are unknown by June 30, 2027. "If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if a specific listed candidate wins. No explicit 'Other' option; a win by an unlisted candidate would result in no payout.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Mississauga, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Mississauga, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Mississauga, Ontario.

Kalshi

If Karam Ahmed wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aamir Bhatti wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bonnie Crombie wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dipika Damerla wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gord Elliott wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frank Fang wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amjad Jilani wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mohsin Khan wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mike Matulewicz wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fadi Naami wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carolyn Parrish wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Shaw wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alvin Tedjo wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture stated preferences, this market reflects what individuals are willing to *stake* on an outcome, potentially revealing more about perceived likelihood. Polling data can be influenced by biases or sampling errors, whereas the financial incentive in this market encourages traders to be as accurate as possible. Discrepancies between polls and this market can signal that traders have access to information not fully captured in public opinion surveys, or that they assess the reliability of different candidates differently.

This market resolves around Jan 24, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Mississauga mayoral election, as declared by official election authorities, will determine the resolution. This market reflects the probability of a specific candidate winning the election, and the outcome will be based on the official results. Traders should monitor news sources and official announcements as the election date approaches to stay informed about potential developments.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant fundraising announcements, or unexpected developments in candidates' campaigns could all shift probabilities. Debates and public appearances provide opportunities for candidates to sway public opinion, potentially affecting trading activity. Changes in polling data, while not always directly correlated, can also influence market prices. Any unforeseen events or controversies involving the candidates could also lead to substantial movements in this market before Jan 24, 2027.