TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$142,857,652
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,278,615
483,990
Markets across
35,811
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,349
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Aug 22, 2028
$
These markets track who will become Prime Minister of Spain following the next general election, with resolution by August 22, 2028. The winner is determined by standard constitutional procedures—formal appointment, swearing-in, or investiture—and must command parliamentary confidence while exercising full executive powers, not merely serving in a caretaker role.
Resolution requires that the designated individual become Prime Minister as a direct result of government formation following Spain's next general election, meeting all constitutional requirements and becoming formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to constitutional procedures before the August 22, 2028 deadline. The individual must command the confidence of parliament and exercise the full powers of the office, excluding any caretaker or acting capacity from a previous government. If no government successfully forms by the deadline, the market resolves to "No one" where available as an option, or No for all other outcomes. If new elections are called before government formation is completed, the market immediately resolves to "No one" (where available) or No for all other outcomes, regardless of the original deadline.
If Alberto Núñez Feijóo becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. Outcome verified from Congress of Deputies and King of Spain.