TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Hamilton Mayoral Election
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Hamilton Mayoral Election?

Total volume:
$31,138
Volume 24h:
$4,937
531%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$2,437
169%

Keanin Loomis

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 24, 2027

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 4% Illiquid market 89 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Keanin Loomis

Trade
99%
36%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,796
240%
347%
$1,364
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Keanin Loomis

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99.9%
Yes 100¢No 0.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Andrea Horwath

Trade
1%
22%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,098
76%
76%
$527
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Andrea Horwath

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.2%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Ejaz Butt

Trade
5%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9
0%
0%
$9
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Ejaz Butt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Rob Cooper

Trade
39%
26%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$539
84%
86%
$537
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Rob Cooper

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Sasha Austin

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Sasha Austin

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

David Mark Cherkewski

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Paul Fromm

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Paul Fromm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Scarlett Gillespie

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Scarlett Gillespie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,091
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

David Harrison

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Erin Janus

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Pamela Mitchell

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Pamela Mitchell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Kevin Walker

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Nathalie Xian Yi Yan

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Nathalie Xian Yi Yan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 49

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election. Markets ask whether specific candidates will win, and also include a 'someone else' option. Resolution hinges on identifying the official winner of the election.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks an explicit 'Other' option, implicitly including all non-listed candidates in each individual candidate market.Hero tip: Consider the probability of candidates not listed on Kalshi. If you believe a non-listed candidate has a significant chance of winning, Polymarket's 'someone else' market may be a better trading opportunity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets for numerous candidates *and* a dedicated 'someone else' market. Resolves to the official mayor, or 'Other' if no winner is known by June 30, 2027. Explicitly excludes interim/placeholder mayors.
  • Kalshi: Offers markets only for a subset of candidates. If none of the listed candidates win, the market resolves to the last traded price. No explicit 'Other' option is present.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.

Kalshi

If Sasha Austin wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ejaz Butt wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Mark Cherkewski wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rob Cooper wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Fromm wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scarlett Gillespie wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Harrison wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrea Horwath wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erin Janus wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keanin Loomis wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pamela Mitchell wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Walker wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nathalie Xian Yi Yan wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture stated preferences, this market reflects what individuals are willing to *stake* on those preferences. This can lead to divergences, as prediction markets incorporate more information – including polling data, fundraising numbers, and qualitative assessments of candidate performance. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong track record of accuracy, sometimes outperforming polls, especially closer to the election date. It's important to consider both sources of information for a comprehensive understanding of the race.

This market resolves around Jan 24, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the Hamilton municipal election authority. The market will determine which candidate receives the most votes in the election. Traders should monitor official sources for the final vote count, which will serve as the basis for settling this market. The winning candidate will be the one declared by the official election results.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements, unexpected debate performances, and shifts in media coverage could all influence trader sentiment. Significant fundraising announcements or the release of new polling data are also likely to cause price movements. Any unforeseen events impacting the candidates’ campaigns, such as scandals or policy changes, could also trigger substantial shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of the Hamilton mayoral election and how they are reflected in this market.