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$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

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$1,733,278,615

483,990

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2028 Republican Presidential ticket
kalshi

2028 Republican Presidential ticket

Apr 17, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Nov 14, 2028, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$111,837
Volume 24h:
$521
47%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$76,985
0.68%

JD Vance and Marco Rubio

 - Kalshi

JD Vance and Marco Rubio - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2028

Will JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 27¢ buys you 370 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $370 | Net Profit: $270 Multiplier: 3.70x | ROI: 270% | APY: 89% 749 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

JD Vance and Marco Rubio

Trade
25%
Yes 27¢No 76¢
3¢
N/A
$21,882
0%
0.2%
$12,655
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio and JD Vance

Trade
6%
Yes 5.5¢No 96.9¢
2.4¢
N/A
$12,120
0.14%
7%
$6,999
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio

Trade
4%
Yes 4.1¢No 99.9¢
4¢
N/A
$1,500
0.13%
0.13%
$1,400
2y 2w
active
kalshi

JD Vance and Erika Kirk

Trade
4%
Yes 3.4¢No 97.3¢
0.7¢
N/A
$21,745
0.01%
0.01%
$16,272
2y 2w
active
kalshi

JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr.

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 4¢No 97.6¢
1.6¢
N/A
$3,829
0.05%
0.05%
$2,562
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 98¢
1.2¢
N/A
$2,839
0.07%
0.07%
$2,106
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Glenn Youngkin and Marco Rubio

Trade
3%
Yes 1¢No 99.9¢
0.9¢
N/A
$100
0%
0%
$100
2y 2w
active
kalshi

JD Vance and Glenn Youngkin

Trade
3%
Yes 2.8¢No 99.9¢
2.7¢
N/A
$5,694
0.04%
0.04%
$2,440
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio and Glenn Youngkin

Trade
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 99¢
1.7¢
N/A
$414
0.49%
0.49%
$414
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio

Trade
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 99.9¢
2.6¢
N/A
$1,230
0.16%
0.16%
$1,230
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio and Byron Donalds

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 2.8¢No 99¢
1.8¢
N/A
$3,209
0.06%
0.06%
$3,209
2y 2w
active
kalshi

JD Vance and Byron Donalds

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 2.7¢No 99¢
1.7¢
N/A
$884
0.23%
0.23%
$709
2y 2w
active
kalshi

JD Vance and Elise Stefanik

Trade
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 98.5¢
0.9¢
N/A
$10,683
0.02%
0.02%
$4,543
2y 2w
active
kalshi

JD Vance and Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Trade
2%
4%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.9¢
0.2¢
N/A
$5,846
0.03%
0.03%
$3,769
2y 2w
active
kalshi

JD Vance and Donald Trump

Trade
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 99.9¢
2.2¢
N/A
$5,779
0.03%
2%
$5,500
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio and Donald Trump

Trade
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 99.9¢
2.2¢
N/A
$5,213
0.04%
3%
$4,998
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Tucker Carlson and JD Vance

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99.9¢
1.9¢
N/A
$3,276
0.06%
0.06%
$3,176
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Donald Trump and Marco Rubio

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99.9¢
1.9¢
N/A
$1,038
83%
83%
$1,038
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio and Elise Stefanik

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99.9¢
1.9¢
N/A
$867
0.23%
0.23%
$553
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio and Erika Kirk

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$392
0.51%
0.51%
$391
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio and Donald Trump Jr.

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$258
0.78%
0.78%
$258
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio and Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$202
0%
0%
$202
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Thomas Massie and Marco Rubio

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.9¢
1¢
N/A
$1,676
0%
0%
$1,301
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Tucker Carlson and Erika Kirk

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
N/A
$332
0%
0%
$332
2y 2w
active
kalshi

Ron DeSantis and JD Vance

Trade
0%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.9¢
1.8¢
N/A
$826
0%
0%
$826
2y 2w
active
Total markets: 25

Description

This market predicts which pair of candidates will be nominated as the Republican presidential and vice presidential nominees for the 2028 U.S. presidential election. The market resolves positively if specific combinations of major political figures are selected as the party's nominees.

Kalshi

This market contains multiple combination outcomes, each requiring both the specified presidential nominee and vice presidential nominee to be selected by the Republican Party for the 2028 election. Order matters: the first person listed must be the presidential nominee and the second must be the vice presidential nominee. Each combination is resolved as an all-or-nothing contract—if either component fails to occur or becomes impossible, the entire contract resolves to No. Resolution follows the Kalshi PRESNOM ruleset for the presidential nominee and VPRESNOM ruleset for the vice presidential nominee.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different assessment of candidate viability than traditional polling averages. Polls capture stated preferences at a single point in time, while this market aggregates the informed opinions of traders who have a financial stake in correctly forecasting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like strategic voting, differing methodologies, and the market’s ability to incorporate a wider range of information beyond simple name recognition. It’s common to see the market assign higher probabilities to candidates perceived as having a strong path to victory, even if they currently trail in polls.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s assessment, and the current volume is $111,837.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the eventual Republican presidential nominee and their vice-presidential running mate are officially announced by the Republican Party. The resolution will be verified against credible public reporting from major news organizations and official party statements. This market focuses solely on the confirmed ticket that appears on the general election ballot, and does not consider hypothetical scenarios or potential changes after the official announcement.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements from influential figures within the Republican Party, significant fundraising announcements, and shifts in the broader political landscape could all cause price fluctuations. Unexpected developments in potential candidates’ personal or professional lives, or the entry (or exit) of prominent contenders, would also likely move the market. Furthermore, key primary election results and debate performances will provide valuable information that traders will incorporate into their assessments, potentially leading to substantial changes in the odds.