TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral?

Total volume:
$25,661
Volume 24h:
$1,588
3,653%
Liquidity:
$52,256
62%
Open interest:
$1,091
77%

Vaughn Goettler

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 15, 2026

Will Vaughn Goettler win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 8% 49 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vaughn Goettler

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Vaughn Goettler

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$434
$671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
Avg: 99¢Max: 99¢
kalshi

Andrea Kaiser

Trade
8%
22%
Yes 45¢No 100¢
45¢
N/A
$1,314
1%
12%
$458
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Andrea Kaiser

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$51,821
$7,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 22.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 45¢Max: 45¢
kalshi

Erwin Wiens

Trade
2%
61%
Yes 89¢No 100¢
89¢
N/A
$912
142%
351%
$633
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Erwin Wiens

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 44.5¢No 100¢
Avg: 89¢Max: 89¢
polymarket

Person A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person N

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person P

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person Q

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person R

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person S

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This group resolves to the winner of the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election in Ontario, Canada. The markets track various candidates and an 'other' option, with resolution based on credible reporting or official sources.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve to the same core event: determining the official winner of the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election.Primary resolution logic: Official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the official election.
  • If no candidate achieves a majority, the market resolves to the candidate who ultimately wins after any run-off elections.
  • If the election results are not known by June 30, 2027, the market will resolve to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official resolution of the election authorities, even if that resolution is delayed beyond the June 30, 2027 deadline. The 'Other' outcome will not be triggered by a tie.
  • Candidate Withdrawal: If a candidate withdraws before the election, markets for that candidate will likely remain open until resolution, but will have a very low probability of resolving 'Yes'. The withdrawal does not automatically trigger resolution to 'Other'.
Timing: The market will resolve once the official results of the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election are announced, or on June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if no official results are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario.

Kalshi

This market resolves to Yes if any listed candidate wins the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election. Each candidate-specific rule provides a separate condition for resolution, and the market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture stated preferences, this market reflects what people are willing to *bet* on, which can be a stronger signal of belief. Polling data can be influenced by factors like social desirability bias, whereas prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. It's common to see discrepancies, especially in races with strong partisan divides or where candidates are less well-known. Analyzing both sources provides a more complete picture of the Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral race.

This market resolves around Dec 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election, as declared by the official election authorities, will determine the resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results. The market will then settle based on the verified winner, providing a clear outcome for all participants. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.

Several events could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant fundraising announcements, or unexpected controversies involving candidates could all shift probabilities. Debates and public appearances offer opportunities for candidates to sway voters, potentially influencing trading activity. Changes in local economic conditions or national political trends could also play a role. Any news that alters perceptions of a candidate's chances of winning the Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral race is likely to move this market.