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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
polymarket
predict

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Jan 11, 2026, 6:22 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$11,662,232
Volume 24h:
$155,893
13%
Liquidity:
$456,459
27%
Open interest:
$4,535,444N/A

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

14%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 15¢ buys you 667 shares | Odds: 14% Total Payout: $667 | Net Profit: $567 Multiplier: 6.67x | ROI: 567% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Trade
14%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
$439,640
$11,248,088
1%
51%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
$16,819
$414,145
0.83%
62%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
13.5%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) will be passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical criteria for resolution based on the official passage and signing of H.R.3633 by the deadlinePrimary resolution logic: Congress.gov’s legislation tracker for H.R.3633

Core resolution logic:

  • Passage requires approval by both the House of Representatives and the Senate
  • Signing must be completed by the President before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
  • Failure at any stage (house vote, senate vote, or presidential signature) before deadline results in No

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • veto override: If the President vetoes the bill and Congress overrides the veto by required majorities before deadline, it resolves as Yes
  • repealer legislation: If a subsequent law repeals the Clarity Act before the market closes, it still counts as having been signed into law
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after December 31, 2026, once official government records confirm whether the bill was signed into law by the deadlineOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.