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484,032

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Precipitation in NYC in October?
polymarket

Precipitation in NYC in October?

Sep 30, 2026, 9:39 AM EST - Jan 7, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$45,467
Volume 24h:
$609
64%
Liquidity:
$8,412
16%
Open interest:
$5,260N/A

<3"

 - Polymarket

<3" - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 7, 2027

Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 11% Low liquidity 72 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<3"

Trade
97%
5%
Yes 98¢No 3.6¢
1.6¢
$984
$25,002
2%
17%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

3-4.25"

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 5.6¢No 99.2¢
4.8¢
$1,280
$10,122
0.05%
7%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

>6.25"

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99.8¢
1.8¢
$1,597
$4,361
0%
7%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

4.25-4.75"

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.8¢
1.1¢
$1,444
$1,951
6%
21%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

5.25-6.25"

Trade
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.8¢
1¢
$1,568
$1,289
0%
15%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

4.75-5.25"

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.9¢
0.9¢
$1,539
$2,742
0%
6%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.