TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$141,844,315

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,993,399

484,032

Markets across

35,818

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,360

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Tour
All
Hurricane Nolo category?
kalshi

Hurricane Nolo category?

Sep 24, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Dec 1, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$52,467
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$14,973
0%

Category 4 or above

 - Kalshi

Category 4 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 1, 2026

Will Nolo become a Category 4 hurricane?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 11% Illiquid market 35 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Category 4 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$9,570
0%
0%
$4,481
1mo 5d
active
kalshi

Category 1 or above

99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,590
0%
0%
$5,543
1mo 5d
active
kalshi

Category 3 or above

99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$2,848
0%
0%
$1,308
1mo 5d
active
kalshi

Category 2 or above

99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$206
0%
0%
$155
1mo 5d
active
kalshi

Category 5 or above

1%
Yes 6¢No 99¢
5¢
N/A
$34,254
0%
0.24%
$3,486
1mo 5d
active
Total markets: 5

Description

Meteorologists will observe Hurricane Nolo's progression, focusing on wind speed measurements that determine its potential impact and categorization as a major hurricane.

Kalshi

The event tracks Hurricane Nolo's maximum sustained wind speeds against five categorical thresholds: 74 mph (Category 1), 96 mph (Category 2), 111 mph (Category 3), 130 mph (Category 4), and 157 mph (Category 5). Any occurrence before December 1, 2026, will result in market expiration at the first 10:00 AM ET following the event.