TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$141,844,315

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,993,399

484,032

Markets across

35,818

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,360

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 27?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 27?

Oct 25, 2026, 12:56 AM EST - Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$48,352
Volume 24h:
$40,160
465%
Liquidity:
$39,380
147%
Open interest:
$19,425N/A

20°C

 - Polymarket

20°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 27, 2026

Time left: 01h:00m:19s

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98.2¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

20°C

Trade
97%
79%
Yes 98.2¢No 3.5¢
1.7¢
$262
$10,368
613%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

21°C

3%
33%
Yes 3.8¢No 98¢
1.8¢
$143
$9,032
376%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

18°C

1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,472
$998
222%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

23°C

1%
7%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,534
$5,795
1,438%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

25°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$3,242
$1,945
334%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

24°C

0%
2%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,991
$2,602
3,631%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

17°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,761
$2,456
330%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

19°C

0%
2%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,034
$4,013
925%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

22°C

0%
28%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,882
$8,422
641%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

26°C or higher

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,413
$1,630
266%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
polymarket

16°C or below

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$5,648
$1,090
0%
N/A
N/A
1h
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) on 27 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded. Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Celsius. The qualifying value is rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Celsius value determines which range contains it. For example, 13.9°C counts as 14°C; 17.4°C counts as 17°C; 16.5°C counts as 17°C; −1.7°C counts as −2°C; −8.5°C counts as −8°C. An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to the station's local time (including any daylight-saving shift in effect), falls on the observation date. This market will resolve at the issuance of the first METAR observation for the station on the day following the observation date or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined from the observations the resolution source shows for the observation date. In the event that the Aviation Weather Center has published no routine observation reporting a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that neither source has published data sufficient to determine a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The report the resolution source shows for a given observation time is the one that counts, whether or not it is marked as a correction (COR). Changes to observations within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. Where the first routine observation for the following date is published before that deadline, resolution is determined from a read taken after it. Where it is not, resolution is determined from a read taken at that deadline. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be the routine observations for Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) published here: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RJTT&format=raw&date=2026-10-27T18:00:00Z&hours=30

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) on 27 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded. Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Celsius. The qualifying value is rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Celsius value determines which range contains it. For example, 13.9°C counts as 14°C; 17.4°C counts as 17°C; 16.5°C counts as 17°C; −1.7°C counts as −2°C; −8.5°C counts as −8°C. An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to the station's local time (including any daylight-saving shift in effect), falls on the observation date. This market will resolve at the issuance of the first METAR observation for the station on the day following the observation date or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined from the observations the resolution source shows for the observation date. In the event that the Aviation Weather Center has published no routine observation reporting a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that neither source has published data sufficient to determine a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The report the resolution source shows for a given observation time is the one that counts, whether or not it is marked as a correction (COR). Changes to observations within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. Where the first routine observation for the following date is published before that deadline, resolution is determined from a read taken after it. Where it is not, resolution is determined from a read taken at that deadline. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be the routine observations for Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) published here: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RJTT&format=raw&date=2026-10-27T18:00:00Z&hours=30