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Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
kalshi

Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 6, 2026, 11:15 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$51,758
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$18,057
0%

Category 4 or higher landfall

 - Kalshi

Category 4 or higher landfall - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

3%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 4¢ buys you 2,500 shares | Odds: 3% Total Payout: $2,500 | Net Profit: $2,400 Multiplier: 25.00x | ROI: 2,400% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Category 4 or higher landfall

Trade
3%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$51,758
0%
0.36%
$18,057
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event concerns whether a Category 4 or higher hurricane will make landfall in Florida, excluding the Florida Keys, within a specified time frame from October 6, 2026, to December 31, 2026. The determination is based on reports from NOAA's National Hurricane Center. The focus is on the occurrence of such a significant hurricane during this period.

Kalshi

If a Category 4 or higher hurricane makes landfall in Florida (excluding the Florida Keys) between October 6, 2026 at 11:15:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.