TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$141,844,315

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,993,399

484,032

Markets across

35,818

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,360

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
kalshi

Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?

Oct 1, 2026, 2:29 PM EST - Nov 1, 2026, 10:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$151,846
Volume 24h:
$3,820
71%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$77,477
2%

Above 1 inch

 - Kalshi

Above 1 inch - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Time left: 05d:16h:59m

Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?

10%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 15¢ buys you 667 shares | Odds: 10% Total Payout: $667 | Net Profit: $567 Multiplier: 6.67x | ROI: 567% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1 inch

Trade
10%
27%
Yes 15¢No 90¢
5¢
N/A
$60,182
3%
68%
$14,599
5d 16h 59m
active
kalshi

Above 2 inches

Trade
6%
Yes 4¢No 98¢
2¢
N/A
$39,756
4%
78%
$18,109
5d 16h 59m
active
kalshi

Above 3 inches

Trade
1%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$9,045
4%
56%
$6,017
5d 16h 59m
active
kalshi

Above 6 inches

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$8,674
0%
11%
$7,074
5d 16h 59m
active
kalshi

Above 4 inches

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,087
0%
17%
$3,360
5d 16h 59m
active
kalshi

Above 7 inches

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,037
0%
0%
$3,037
5d 16h 59m
active
kalshi

Above 5 inches

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$27,066
0%
0.89%
$25,281
5d 16h 59m
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks whether Los Angeles will experience significant rainfall during October 2026. Participants assess the likelihood of precipitation exceeding various thresholds, reflecting climate expectations for the region. The outcome depends on official weather data for the month.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple precipitation thresholds for Los Angeles during October 2026, each defined by a specific inch measurement. For any threshold, if the officially reported total precipitation at CLILAX exceeds that exact inch mark, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All thresholds are evaluated against the same official data source: the corresponding TWC Report (Daily). While public weather services may offer estimates, they are not used for resolution. The final determination rests solely on the TWC Report’s documented total precipitation for the month, ensuring consistency across all threshold markets.