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Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?
polymarket

Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?

Sep 30, 2026, 9:39 AM EST - Jan 7, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$60,495
Volume 24h:
$396
296%
Liquidity:
$7,969
4%
Open interest:
$7,769N/A

70-120mm

 - Polymarket

70-120mm - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 7, 2027

Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.5¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 0.5% | APY: 3% Low liquidity 72 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

70-120mm

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 99.5¢No 4.7¢
4.2¢
$768
$28,282
0.07%
4%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

120-210mm

Trade
2%
Yes 4.1¢No 99.4¢
3.5¢
$1,079
$15,627
2%
16%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

210mm+

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
$1,356
$4,118
0%
26%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

50-70mm

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,351
$4,148
0%
0.95%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

40-50mm

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,063
$3,246
0%
3%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

<20mm

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
—
$1,503
$3,045
0%
5%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

20-40mm

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$849
$2,028
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in October 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in October 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.