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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,574

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Will Ink launch a token by ___?
polymarket
limitless

Will Ink launch a token by January 1, 2028?

May 20, 2026, 6:07 PM EST - Jan 1, 2028, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$56,784
Volume 24h:
$3,931
717%
Liquidity:
$17,880
3%
Open interest:
$20,712N/A

December 31, 2027

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 95.1¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 4% 491 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
95%
Yes 95.1¢No 24.3¢
19.4¢
$5,518
$12,447
0%
0.1%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
limitless

December 31, 2027

Trade
88%
Yes 87.9¢No 12¢
3.9¢
N/A
$327
0%
2%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
91.5%
Yes 91.5¢No 18.2¢
Avg: 11.7¢Max: 19.4¢
limitless

September 30, 2027

Trade
85%
Yes 85.2¢No 14.8¢
4.4¢
N/A
$310
0%
182%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

September 30, 2027

Trade
84%
Yes 86¢No 18¢
4¢
$5,165
$3,243
0%
20%
N/A
1y 1mo
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
84.5%
Yes 85.6¢No 16.4¢
Avg: 4.2¢Max: 4.4¢
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
66%
40%
Yes 67¢No 35¢
2¢
$3,521
$22,034
20%
23%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
limitless

December 31, 2026

Trade
N/A
N/A
19.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 4mo
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
66%
Yes 67¢No 35¢
Avg: 10.9¢Max: 19.7¢
limitless

June 30, 2027

Trade
50%
Yes 50.1¢No 50¢
99.7¢
N/A
$102
0%
0%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

September 30, 2026

Trade
17%
Yes 18.7¢No 85¢
3.7¢
$1,980
$15,518
2%
44%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
limitless

September 30, 2026

Trade
16%
1%
Yes 15.8¢No 84.3¢
9.1¢
N/A
$31
0%
0%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
16.5%
Yes 17.3¢No 84.7¢
Avg: 6.4¢Max: 9.1¢
limitless

March 31, 2027

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
limitless

June 30, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
4.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 4mo
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group tracks whether Ink, a blockchain project, will launch an official token by various dates spanning from June 2026 through December 2027. The markets require the token to be officially launched by Ink, actively tradable on public exchanges, and exclude stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens. Resolution depends on official Ink announcements and credible reporting consensus.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Limitless apply identical resolution criteria across all eight deadline markets, with matching qualification rules and source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Ink official communications via https://x.com/inkonchain, with secondary validation from consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be officially launched by Ink (not third parties)
  • Token must be actively and publicly tradable on exchanges by the deadline
  • Announcements alone do not qualify; actual trading availability required
  • Excluded token types: stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs (liquid staking tokens), and synthetic tokens
  • Resolution deadline is 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in each market title
  • YES resolution requires token launch by deadline; NO resolution if no qualifying launch occurs

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Announcement without trading: If Ink announces a token but it is not yet actively tradable by the deadline, the market resolves NO. Trading availability is mandatory.
  • Token type ambiguity: If Ink launches a token that could be classified as a stablecoin, memecoin, LST, or synthetic token, it does not qualify. Only standard utility or governance tokens count.
  • Multiple token launches: If Ink launches multiple tokens, only one qualifying token is needed for YES resolution. The market does not require a specific token name or quantity.
  • Exchange listing timing: Token must be actively tradable by 11:59 PM ET on the deadline date. Listings scheduled for after the deadline do not qualify.
  • Credible reporting consensus: If Ink's official channels are unavailable or ambiguous, consensus from credible news sources and blockchain data providers serves as tiebreaker.
Timing: Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each market's specified deadline date. Markets are independent; an earlier deadline market resolving YES does not automatically resolve later deadline markets YES, though logically they should align.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The Ink token launch market aggregates trader sentiment across Polymarket and Limitless, monitoring whether Ink will complete a token launch by the specified deadline. This market reflects real-time probability estimates from active prediction traders, with Polymarket currently showing 95.1% conviction and Limitless at 87.9%. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you gain visibility into consensus expectations and spot divergence between venues, helping you assess whether a launch is priced as likely or uncertain.

Prediction market odds reflect trader beliefs about a future event, not current token valuations. If Ink has already issued a token or announced a firm launch date, odds typically trend higher. Conversely, if development timelines remain uncertain or the team has deprioritized tokenization, odds may stay subdued. Spot prices for existing Ink assets or related tokens can move independently based on market sentiment, partnerships, or protocol updates—making prediction odds a distinct signal of launch probability rather than a price forecast.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader cohorts, liquidity depths, and fee structures, which can create pricing gaps on the same event. Polymarket may reflect longer-dated conviction (through December 31, 2027), while Limitless offers an earlier resolution date (June 30, 2026), introducing a time-horizon mismatch. Regulatory environment, platform-specific incentives, and user base composition also influence how each venue weights the likelihood of an Ink token launch, sometimes producing a spread of 7.2 percentage points or more.

This market settles on Jan 1, 2028. Resolution hinges on whether Ink has officially launched a token by that date—typically confirmed through public announcements, blockchain records, or official documentation. The outcome is binary: either a token launch occurs before the deadline, or it does not. Traders holding positions should monitor Ink's development roadmap and communications for any updates that could shift the probability of a launch occurring within the resolution window.

Major catalysts include official Ink announcements regarding tokenization plans, regulatory clarity on token issuance, funding rounds that signal token readiness, or partnership news that accelerates launch timelines. Conversely, delays, pivots away from tokenization, or leadership changes could suppress odds. Community sentiment shifts, competitor token launches, and macroeconomic conditions affecting crypto adoption also influence trader positioning. Monitoring Ink's GitHub activity, governance discussions, and team statements will help you anticipate market moves before they materialize.