TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$91,248,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,520,955

334,440

Markets across

33,346

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will Bitcoin hit July 27-August 2?
polymarket
opinion
kalshi

What price will Bitcoin hit July 27-August 2?

Total volume:
$7,967,470
Volume 24h:
$2,036,560
189%
Liquidity:
$1,503,746
0%
Open interest:
$3,087,608
51%

↑ 70,000

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?

0%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ 70,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$94,330
$225,993
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

Above $70,000.00

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$736,268
N/A
N/A
$349,164
4d 15h 5m
Yes
opinion

↑ 70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50%
Yes 50.1¢No 50¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
kalshi

Above $82,500.00

Trade
41%
10%
Yes 40¢No 61¢
1¢
N/A
$792,462
10%
520%
$277,601
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $85,000.00

Trade
21%
6%
Yes 20¢No 82¢
2¢
N/A
$396,112
56%
N/A
$242,931
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $87,500.00

Trade
8%
3%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$165,993
62%
N/A
$109,175
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $90,000.00

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$319,517
20%
N/A
$223,474
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $112,500.00

Trade
4%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$821
0%
N/A
$521
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $92,500.00

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$80,224
23%
N/A
$46,422
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $100,000.00

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$80,637
18%
N/A
$71,658
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $95,000.00

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$59,597
1%
N/A
$46,748
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $102,500.00

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$34,317
6%
N/A
$31,914
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $97,500.00

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$25,360
3%
N/A
$23,460
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $127,500.00

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$400
0%
N/A
$400
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $105,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$13,878
2%
N/A
$12,463
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $107,500.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$5,874
0%
N/A
$5,326
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $130,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,819
0%
N/A
$2,397
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $110,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,421
0%
N/A
$2,124
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $122,500.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,275
658%
N/A
$2,275
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $115,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,695
0%
N/A
$1,695
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $132,500.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,568
0%
N/A
$1,468
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $125,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,433
0%
N/A
$1,033
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $117,500.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$343
0%
N/A
$343
4d 15h 5m
active
kalshi

Above $120,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$231
0%
N/A
$231
4d 15h 5m
active
polymarket

↓ 56,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$134,798
$307,552
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
Total markets: 25 of 56

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin will reach or dip to specific price levels between July 27 and August 2. Markets differ in whether they track upward breaches (high price) or downward dips (low price), and in their specific price thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Opinion resolve based on Bitcoin price extremes within a specific date range (July 27-August 2), while Kalshi resolves based on price thresholds over a much longer period (through August 31, 2026).Hero tip: If you bet YES on Kalshi markets, your outcome may diverge from Polymarket/Opinion because Kalshi covers a far longer time horizon.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with Opinion: Market resolves YES if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during July 27-August 2 has a final High (or Low) price equal to or greater (or lower) than the price specified in the title.
  • Opinion: Aligned with Polymarket: Market resolves YES if Bitcoin reaches the specified price threshold during July 27-August 2 based on Binance price data.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves YES if BTC is ever above the specified price threshold after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit July 27-August 2?

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple Bitcoin price thresholds across August 2026, resolving to 'Yes' if the price exceeds any specified level at any moment during the period. Each market checks the Bitcoin price continuously on a minute-by-minute basis from issuance until 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, using CF BRTI pricing data. To mitigate the influence of extreme fluctuations, the methodology trims the top 20% and bottom 20% of all collected minute-by-minute prices, then calculates a trimmed mean for each minute. If this adjusted value surpasses the relevant threshold for any single minute, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The exchange specifies the Bitcoin version or ticker used for measurement, ensuring clarity in the tracked asset.

Opinion

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if, during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date), any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT reaches the price specified in the title in the specified direction — for an "above" market, a final "High" price equal to or greater than that price; for a "below" market, a final "Low" price equal to or less than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.