TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$115,807,555

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,188,566,556

336,771

Markets across

33,711

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,629

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
polymarket
opinion
predict
limitless

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Total volume:
$22,983,732
Volume 24h:
$3,429,913
90%
Liquidity:
$1,672,329
25%
Open interest:
$4,963,243N/A

↑ 82,500

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:10h:18m

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?

62%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 61.6¢ buys you 162 shares | Odds: 62% Total Payout: $162 | Net Profit: $62 Multiplier: 1.62x | ROI: 62% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ 82,500

Trade
62%
37%
Yes 61.6¢No 38.5¢
0.1¢
$48,321
$1,360,340
11%
315%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
opinion

↑ 82,500

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
62%
Yes 61.6¢No 38.5¢
Avg: 2.1¢Max: 4.1¢
polymarket

↓ 77,500

Trade
36%
47%
Yes 37¢No 65¢
2¢
$38,313
$125,108
136%
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↑ 85,000

Trade
28%
19%
Yes 28¢No 72.1¢
0.1¢
$47,830
$1,084,971
10%
261%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
opinion

↑ 85,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
28%
Yes 28¢No 72.1¢
Avg: 2.1¢Max: 4.1¢
polymarket

↑ 87,500

Trade
13%
9%
Yes 12.9¢No 87.7¢
0.6¢
$42,912
$394,055
31%
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↓ 75,000

Trade
11%
28%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$43,218
$425,252
13%
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↑ 90,000

Trade
6%
2%
Yes 6¢No 94.1¢
0.1¢
$50,809
$636,003
16%
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↓ 72,500

Trade
4%
8%
Yes 4¢No 96.6¢
0.6¢
$33,503
$310,219
18%
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↑ 92,500

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 3.4¢No 97.1¢
0.5¢
$22,593
$110,161
34%
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
opinion

↑ 100,000

Trade
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 2.7¢
-94.6¢
N/A
$34
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↑ 100,000

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.1¢
$114,532
$2,254,335
2%
133%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 1.7¢No 51.1¢
Avg: -47.2¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

↓ 70,000

Trade
2%
4%
Yes 2¢No 98.6¢
0.6¢
$40,515
$313,881
16%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↓ 67,500

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 98.9¢
0.1¢
$33,006
$450,705
9%
1,051%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↓ 65,000

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.1¢
$69,603
$243,091
17%
585%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↓ 62,500

Trade
1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1¢
$97,252
$1,105,139
2%
35%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
polymarket

↓ 60,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$131,709
$1,325,157
4%
93%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
opinion

↓ 60,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
-95.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
Avg: -47.6¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

↓ 55,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$137,938
$1,108,876
3%
77%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
opinion

↓ 55,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
-95.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: -47.7¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

↓ 57,500

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$93,702
$1,108,844
4%
110%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
opinion

↓ 57,500

Trade
N/A
N/A
-95.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
Avg: -95.4¢Max: -95.4¢
polymarket

↓ 40,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$109,061
$798,409
0.42%
19%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
opinion

↓ 40,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
-95.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: -95.6¢Max: -95.6¢
polymarket

↓ 50,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$114,755
$848,845
0.26%
36%
N/A
4d 10h 18m
active
Total markets: 25 of 67

Description

This group of markets predicts whether Bitcoin will reach specific price thresholds in August, including both upward movements and dips. The markets cover a range of prices from $40,000 to $100,000, with varying conditions such as first occurrence, any occurrence, or specific timeframes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently use Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data to determine whether specified price thresholds are reached during AugustPrimary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on whether any Binance 1-minute candle has a High >= specified threshold (for upward markets) or Low <= specified threshold (for downward markets) during August
  • Timeframe is consistently defined as 00:00 AM ET on August 1st to 11:59 PM ET on August 31st, except where specifically noted
  • Price validation uses actual traded prices from Binance BTC/USDT pair only - no other exchanges or pairs are considered

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Market Creation Timing: Some markets only consider price action from their creation date forward, not the entire month
  • First Occurrence vs Any Occurrence: Some markets resolve based on first occurrence of threshold, others on any occurrence during the period
Timing: Markets resolve after August 31st, based on complete Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data for the monthOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Predict

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if BTC’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5th, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET and October 5th, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if BTC’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD on August 24, 2026, at 03:59 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD on August 17, 2026, at 04:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD captured on August 17, 2026, at 04:00 UTC was $63,364.81644034. Resolution source: Pyth Pro BTC/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. If Pyth Pro is briefly missing data at exactly 03:59 UTC on August 24, 2026, the next available Pyth Pro price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp. In the rare event of a longer Pyth Pro outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth Pro price.

Opinion

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if, during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date), any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT reaches the price specified in the title in the specified direction — for an "above" market, a final "High" price equal to or greater than that price; for a "below" market, a final "Low" price equal to or less than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.