TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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42%

VS.

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58%

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What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Nov 24, 2025, 2:27 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$15,112,017
Volume 24h:
$816,920
1,773%
Liquidity:
$1,783,897
0.53%
Open interest:
$670,231
0.15%

↑ 2,750

 - Polymarket

↑ 2,750 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?

77%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 77% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% | APY: 104% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ 2,750

Trade
77%
5%
Yes 78¢No 25¢
3¢
$41,494
$48,497
0.84%
51%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 2,250

Trade
73%
5%
Yes 77¢No 31¢
8¢
$7,291
$507
0%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 3,000

Trade
56%
4%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
2¢
$44,209
$77,741
6%
51%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 2,000

Trade
48%
Yes 51¢No 55¢
6¢
$30,293
$1,770
4,920%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 3,500

Trade
31%
3%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
$76,772
$612,011
0.31%
8%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above $3,500.00

Trade
30%
4%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
N/A
$466,779
0.35%
9%
$120,837
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
30.5%
Yes 30.5¢No 70.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Above $4,000.00

Trade
23%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
N/A
$267,390
0.26%
4%
$83,665
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 4,000

Trade
17%
1%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$80,039
$367,637
0.06%
8%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
20%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Above $3,750.00

Trade
20%
Yes 26¢No 77¢
3¢
N/A
$189,935
0.36%
4%
$57,395
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above $4,250.00

Trade
20%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
N/A
$137,059
0%
4%
$25,439
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 1,750

Trade
19%
1%
Yes 20¢No 82¢
2¢
$40,398
$414,175
3%
312%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above $4,500.00

Trade
16%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
N/A
$264,094
0.1%
2%
$62,036
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 4,500

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$85,381
$332,213
0.02%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
14%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

↓ 1,500

Trade
15%
1%
Yes 15.3¢No 86¢
1.3¢
$60,721
$2,492,543
0.4%
13%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above $5,000.00

Trade
14%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$333,372
0.09%
0.84%
$109,386
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 5,000

Trade
7%
Yes 7.9¢No 94¢
1.9¢
$52,032
$456,151
0.05%
3%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
10.5%
Yes 9.5¢No 92¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 1.9¢
kalshi

Above $4,750.00

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
N/A
$257,929
0%
0.81%
$40,074
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 1,250

Trade
9%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
$91,079
$518,636
0.03%
9%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 1,000

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$132,501
$1,964,484
0.19%
30%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above $6,000.00

Trade
6%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$469,037
0.12%
2%
$171,398
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 6,000

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.1¢No 96¢
0.1¢
$87,892
$320,747
0.15%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 4.6¢No 96¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

↓ 800

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
$114,589
$1,613,510
0%
29%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 5,500

Trade
5%
Yes 6¢No 95.6¢
1.6¢
$80,972
$255,200
0%
6%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 6,500

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 96.9¢
0.9¢
$84,912
$217,337
0.08%
5%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 700

Trade
3%
Yes 3.7¢No 97.5¢
1.2¢
$83,715
$10,039
0.3%
11%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum will touch $1,750 at any point during 2026. Aggregated across Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability stands at 96.0%, based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data as the resolution source. The market observes intraday price action across a 13-month window from November 24, 2025, through December 31, 2026, capturing any touch of the target level regardless of where Ethereum closes. Watch for significant moves in Ethereum's price trajectory as the December 31, 2026 observation window closes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses intraday price extremes (High/Low from 1-minute candles) with a touch-any-time resolution logic, while Kalshi uses a single spot price snapshot at a specific moment (Jan 1, 2027 12:00 AM). This creates fundamentally different settlement conditions: Polymarket YES if the price ever touches the threshold during the window; Kalshi YES only if the price is above the threshold at the exact snapshot time.Hero tip: If you believe Ethereum will spike above a price level but may not hold it, Polymarket offers better odds because a single touch resolves YES. On Kalshi, you need the price to be above the threshold at the exact Jan 1, 2027 midnight snapshot—a brief spike won't help. For downside (dip) markets, Polymarket requires a touch of the low; Kalshi has no downside markets, only upside thresholds.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves YES if Ethereum/USDT on Binance 1-minute candles touches the specified price (High for upside, Low for downside) at any point between November 24, 2025 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026 23:59 ET. Quote: 'This market will immediately resolve to YES if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT)...has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified.' Touch-any-time logic; includes downside dip markets ($800, $1,000, $1,500, $2,000, $2,500).
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if Ethereum spot price in U.S. dollars is above the specified threshold at exactly January 1, 2027 12:00 AM. Quote: 'If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above [threshold] by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.' Point-in-time snapshot logic; only upside thresholds ($3,500 to $6,000); no downside markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit before 2027?

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the spot price of Ethereum measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) as of January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM. Price is calculated using a trimmed mean methodology that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values from market issuance through the target time. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold ranging from $3,500 to $6,000 in $250 increments. The market resolves to Yes if the trimmed mean price exceeds the specified threshold by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. CF Benchmarks data is authoritative and post-expiration revisions do not affect resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for Ethereum's 2026 price across multiple prediction platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It consolidates $13,817,077 in total group volume to show you a cross-platform consensus view of where traders expect Ethereum to trade by year-end 2026. You can monitor how odds shift as new information emerges, compare outcome probabilities side-by-side, and track $206,196 in recent 24-hour activity to gauge market momentum and conviction.

Prediction market odds reflect trader beliefs about Ethereum's price range by 2026, which often diverge from current spot prices due to time horizon, volatility assumptions, and macro sentiment. Markets price in both upside and downside scenarios; for example, some outcomes show elevated probability for significant moves in either direction. These odds are forward-looking consensus estimates rather than technical projections, making them useful for understanding where the crowd expects Ethereum to settle relative to today's levels over the next two years.

Polymarket and Kalshi may show different odds for Ethereum's 2026 price due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, fee structures, and outcome framing. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with different risk tolerances and time horizons, leading to distinct price discovery. Polymarket currently shows 76.5% probability for its top outcome, while Kalshi reflects 30.0%, a spread of 46.5 percentage points. Monitoring both helps you identify arbitrage opportunities and understand where conviction is strongest.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome is determined by Ethereum's verified price at that time, typically sourced from major spot exchanges or price feeds. Each platform may reference slightly different data sources or settlement windows, so confirm the specific resolution criteria on Polymarket and Kalshi before trading. Resolution occurs automatically once the reference price is finalized, and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.

Major catalysts include Ethereum protocol upgrades, shifts in institutional adoption, regulatory clarity or restrictions, macroeconomic policy changes, and Bitcoin price movements. Network security incidents, staking yield dynamics, and competing layer-1 or layer-2 developments also influence trader sentiment. Geopolitical events, central bank decisions, and crypto market sentiment cycles can trigger sharp repricing. Monitor on-chain metrics, developer activity, and broader crypto market health to anticipate how these signals may shift odds on Polymarket and Kalshi leading up to Jan 1, 2027.