TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will XRP hit July 27-August 2?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will XRP hit July 27-August 2?

Total volume:
$501,400
Volume 24h:
$212,763
512%
Liquidity:
$849,505
0%
Open interest:
$362,749
101%

Above $1.70

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:06h:38m

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.70 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?

18%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 18¢ buys you 556 shares | Odds: 18% Total Payout: $556 | Net Profit: $456 Multiplier: 5.56x | ROI: 456% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $1.70

Trade
18%
5%
Yes 18¢No 87¢
5¢
N/A
$34,030
6%
646%
$18,625
4d 6h 38m
active
polymarket

↑ 1.70

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$66,771
$350
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
9%
Yes 9¢No 93.5¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
kalshi

Above $1.90

Trade
6%
2%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$10,341
2%
7,954,715%
$7,195
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $2.10

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$13,023
5%
0%
$8,306
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $1.80

Trade
4%
3%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
4¢
N/A
$69,176
5%
656%
$40,176
4d 6h 38m
active
polymarket

↑ 1.80

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$66,427
$287
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 4.6¢No 97.5¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Above $2.40

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$2,338
0%
0%
$1,570
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $2.50

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$6,000
1%
0%
$5,220
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $2.00

Trade
2%
Yes 5¢No 98¢
3¢
N/A
$18,893
1%
28,073%
$14,247
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $2.20

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
3¢
N/A
$2,013
0%
0%
$1,617
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $2.30

Trade
2%
3%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$664
5%
0%
$434
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $2.80

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$10,759
0%
0%
$10,755
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $2.60

Trade
1%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$2,386
0%
0%
$1,930
4d 6h 38m
active
kalshi

Above $2.70

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$1,903
0%
0%
$1,503
4d 6h 38m
active
polymarket

↓ 0.90

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$44,373
$925
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

↓ 0.80

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$65,913
$725
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

↓ 1.00

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$43,274
$542
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

↓ 0.60

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$66,526
$418
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

↓ 0.70

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$66,920
$355
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

↑ 1.60

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$66,476
$350
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

Above $1.60

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$217,638
N/A
N/A
$198,626
4d 6h 38m
Yes
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50%
Yes 50.1¢No 50¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
polymarket

↑ 1.30

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$68,905
$345
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

Above $1.30

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,788
N/A
N/A
$3,294
4d 6h 38m
Yes
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50%
Yes 50.1¢No 50¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
polymarket

↑ 1.50

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$67,952
$335
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

Above $1.50

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,396
N/A
N/A
$11,175
4d 6h 38m
Yes
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50%
Yes 50.1¢No 50¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP will reach or dip to specific price thresholds between July 27 and August 2, 2024, based on Binance 1-minute candle data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data for the same date range (July 27 to August 2, 2024 ET) with identical high/low threshold logic.Primary resolution logic: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on XRP/USDT price action on Binance
  • "Reach" markets resolve to Yes if any 1-minute candle high >= threshold
  • "Dip" markets resolve to Yes if any 1-minute candle low <= threshold
  • All markets share the same date range: July 27, 12:00 AM ET to August 2, 11:59 PM ET

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle timing: Candle timestamps must align with ET conversion from Binance server time (UTC+8)
  • Threshold equality: Markets resolve to Yes if price equals the threshold (inclusive)
Timing: Immediate resolution upon first qualifying candle; final resolution no later than August 3, 2024 ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will XRP hit July 27-August 2?

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for XRP's price performance throughout August 2026. For each threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes' if, at any minute during the period from issuance through August 31, 2026, the price exceeds the specified level. Settlement uses minute-by-minute price data from CF XRPUSD_RTI, with statistical trimming applied: the top and bottom 20% of all recorded minute prices are excluded before calculating an average for each minute. If this trimmed mean exceeds the threshold for any minute, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The measurement period begins at issuance and ends at 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The exchange specifies the exact XRP version or ticker tracked, ensuring clarity for participants.