TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will Dogecoin hit in August?
kalshi
polymarket

What price will Dogecoin hit in August?

Total volume:
$132,841
Volume 24h:
$7,596
24%
Liquidity:
$43,528
19%
Open interest:
$19,773
10%

Above $0.10

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:08h:32m

Will DOGE trimmed mean be above $0.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?

69%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 70¢ buys you 143 shares | Odds: 69% Total Payout: $143 | Net Profit: $43 Multiplier: 1.43x | ROI: 43% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $0.10

Trade
69%
40%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
1¢
N/A
$7,633
1%
317%
$3,959
4d 8h 32m
active
polymarket

↑ 0.10

Trade
N/A
N/A
72¢
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 32m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
69%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
Avg: 36.5¢Max: 72¢
kalshi

Above $0.15

Trade
12%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
3¢
N/A
$4,353
0%
91%
$3,157
4d 8h 32m
active
kalshi

Above $0.11

Trade
10%
18%
Yes 26¢No 91¢
17¢
N/A
$5,444
3%
225%
$3,800
4d 8h 32m
active
kalshi

Above $0.13

Trade
8%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$1,411
0%
370%
$1,080
4d 8h 32m
active
kalshi

Above $0.14

Trade
7%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$842
0%
111%
$576
4d 8h 32m
active
kalshi

Above $0.12

Trade
5%
Yes 9¢No 99¢
8¢
N/A
$1,387
3%
149%
$998
4d 8h 32m
active
polymarket

↑ 0.15

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2.9¢No 98.4¢
1.3¢
$22,325
$90,742
0.09%
272%
N/A
4d 8h 32m
active
polymarket

↑ 0.20

Trade
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.7¢
1.2¢
$20,581
$4,504
0.3%
169%
N/A
4d 8h 32m
active
polymarket

↓ 0.05

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$602
$2,400
2%
155%
N/A
4d 8h 32m
active
kalshi

Above $0.09

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,751
N/A
N/A
$4,237
4d 8h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.08

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,870
N/A
N/A
$1,966
4d 8h 32m
Yes
polymarket

↑ 0.10

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,506
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 32m
Yes
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin will reach specific price thresholds in August. Markets differ in thresholds ($0.05 to $0.20) and resolution criteria (high vs low prices).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Threshold and source divergence: Kalshi uses any exchange data over a full year, Polymarket uses Binance 1-minute candles for a single monthHero tip: Focus trades on the platform whose criteria match your view. Kalshi bets cover a longer period and any exchange; Polymarket requires precise Binance candle data in August.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if DOGE price is ever above $0.08-$0.15 through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 using any exchange data
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle High (for $0.10, $0.15, $0.20) or Low (for $0.05) during August meets the threshold
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Dogecoin hit in August?

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds to determine if the price of DOGE exceeds specified levels at any moment between issuance and August 31, 2026. For each threshold, the market resolves to Yes if, at any minute during the period, the trimmed mean price—calculated by removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute price data—exceeds the threshold. This trimmed mean approach mitigates the influence of extreme price spikes or drops, ensuring a more stable assessment of price levels. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to No. The specific DOGE version or ticker is predetermined by the Exchange. The consistent methodology across all thresholds ensures uniform evaluation, with each market independently assessing its respective price target.