TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will Cap hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi
predict

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$868,550
Volume 24h:
$283,952
191%
Liquidity:
$1,353,064
67%
Open interest:
$696
0%

↓ $0.04

 - Polymarket

↓ $0.04 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Cap dip to $0.04 before 2027?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 6% Low liquidity 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ $0.04

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 97¢
95¢
$8
$18
0%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ $0.08

Trade
89%
Yes 89¢No 86¢
75¢
$39
$549
0%
0.92%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ $0.06

Trade
78%
1%
Yes 78¢No 23¢
1¢
$207
$40
0%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ $0.15

Trade
64%
33%
Yes 64¢No 96¢
60¢
$68
$2,411
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ $0.05

Trade
60%
4%
Yes 60¢No 91¢
51¢
$35
$56
56%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ $0.015

Trade
49%
Yes 49¢No 92¢
41¢
$31
$664
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$100M

Trade
41%
Yes 42.8¢No 61.8¢
4.6¢
$31,708
$75,258
22%
466%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$100 or above

Trade
33%
Yes 35¢No 85¢
20¢
N/A
$200
0%
19%
$188
4mo 6d
active
predict

$150M

Trade
31%
14%
Yes 31¢No 69.2¢
0.2¢
$25,882
$127,362
25%
486%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ $0.01

Trade
20%
1%
Yes 20¢No 92¢
12¢
$65
$1,289
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$200M

Trade
17%
4%
Yes 17.1¢No 83¢
0.1¢
$46,794
$125,283
93%
1,312%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ $0.10

Trade
17%
Yes 21¢No 87¢
8¢
$98
$388
0%
1%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

$85.0000 - $89.9999

Trade
14%
Yes 20¢No 100¢
20¢
N/A
$193
0%
108%
$193
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

$45.0000 - $49.9999

Trade
12%
Yes 16¢No 100¢
16¢
N/A
$307
0%
0%
$300
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

$50.0000 - $54.9999

Trade
10%
Yes 15¢No 99¢
14¢
N/A
$5
0%
0%
$5
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

$40.0000 - $44.9999

Trade
9%
Yes 14¢No 100¢
14¢
N/A
$5
0%
0%
$5
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

$55.0000 - $59.9999

Trade
9%
Yes 15¢No 99¢
14¢
N/A
$5
0%
0%
$5
4mo 6d
active
predict

$300M

Trade
9%
Yes 9.1¢No 91.5¢
0.6¢
$250,470
$103,837
51%
507%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ $0.20

Trade
8%
2%
Yes 9¢No 93¢
2¢
$86
$2,625
0%
0.39%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$500M

Trade
5%
Yes 5.2¢No 94.9¢
0.1¢
$374,267
$111,834
29%
257%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$9.9999 or below

Trade
5%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
4mo 6d
active
predict

$1B

Trade
4%
Yes 3.8¢No 96.3¢
0.1¢
$450,588
$163,121
3%
169%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$10.0000 - $14.9999

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

$15.0000 - $19.9999

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

$20.0000 - $24.9999

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks various price and market cap thresholds for the cryptocurrency Cap and the token $牛来, focusing on whether these thresholds will be reached before specific dates in 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use price or market cap thresholds evaluated against exchange-specific 1-minute candle data within defined time windows, with immediate resolution upon threshold achievement.Primary resolution logic: Exchange-specific price feeds (Bybit for Cap, Flap.sh for $牛来)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve to 'Yes' immediately if the specified price or market cap threshold is reached within the defined timeframe
  • Threshold evaluation uses 1-minute candle data from designated exchange sources
  • Markets resolve to 'No' if the threshold remains unmet by the deadline

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Threshold Boundary: If a threshold is exactly met, the market resolves to 'Yes' immediately
  • Timeframe End: If the threshold is met at the very end of the timeframe, the market still resolves to 'Yes'
Timing: Immediate resolution upon threshold achievement; otherwise at timeframe expirationOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI immediately before 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the market that matches the calculated average price resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' The official price is derived from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), where the final minute before expiration involves collecting 60 RTI prices, and the average of these prices is used as the definitive value. This methodology ensures consistency and objectivity in determining the outcome, as general price sources like Google or Coinbase may vary and are not considered official for this event.

Predict

The appropriate market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any 1 minute candle for 牛来/USD during the time period specified (from 11:30 PM ET on August 16, 2026 to 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026) has a market cap (MCAP) equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Flap.sh, specifically the USD denominated $牛来 pair's market cap (MCAP) value reached by using the prices available at https://flap.sh/bnb/0xbeea1d618e533a387d941f58a7d4c9b7bd377777 with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. For the purposes of this market, market cap is defined as (total supply - burned supply) * price. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Flap the USD denominated $牛来, exclusively for the token address 0xbeea1d618e533a387d941f58a7d4c9b7bd377777 (https://bscscan.com/address/0xbeea1d618e533a387d941f58a7d4c9b7bd377777). Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.