TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$101,900,907

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,178,729,067

335,697

Markets across

33,528

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,579

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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STRC hits $100 by…
polymarket
predict

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31, 2026?

Total volume:
$1,227,291
Volume 24h:
$26,233
16%
Liquidity:
$135,634
29%
Open interest:
$316,847N/A

December 31

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?

85%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 85% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 60% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31

Trade
85%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
1¢
$32,030
$190,684
1%
34%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

December 31

Trade
80%
Yes 80¢No 20.1¢
0.1¢
$46,532
$209,188
0.98%
5%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
82.5%
Yes 82.5¢No 18.1¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

September 30

Trade
61%
4%
Yes 65¢No 43¢
8¢
$16,122
$422,443
3%
18%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

September 30

Trade
51%
Yes 52.2¢No 50.7¢
2.9¢
$40,950
$193,656
3%
6%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
56%
Yes 58.6¢No 46.9¢
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 8¢
predict

June 30

View
N/A
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

June 30

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This event group tracks whether STRC (Stripe) will reach a price of $100 per share by specified dates. Across Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability that STRC hits $100 by December 31 stands at 41.5%, while the probability it reaches that level by September 30 is 24.7%. Resolution is determined by TradingView NASDAQ:STRC chart data using 1-minute candle settings, with a YES outcome triggered if any single candle shows a High value of at least $100 during the measurement window. Watch the September 30 deadline as an early signal for whether the stock is on pace to hit the $100 target by year-end.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict markets use identical resolution criteria, data source, and timing across all three deadline variants with no platform-specific divergences detected.Primary resolution logic: TradingView NASDAQ:STRC chart (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC) with 1-minute candle settings selected

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if any single 1-minute candle High value reaches or exceeds $100.00
  • Measurement period: from market creation through 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline date
  • Only TradingView data is authoritative; prices from other exchanges or data providers are excluded
  • A single touch of $100 or higher on any 1-minute candle High triggers YES resolution
  • If STRC never reaches $100 by the deadline, market resolves NO

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Intraday spike resolution: Market resolves YES even if price spikes to $100+ for only one minute and then falls; the High value of that single candle is sufficient
  • Deadline timing precision: Resolution cutoff is exactly 11:59 PM ET on the specified date; any candle closing at or after midnight ET is outside the measurement window
  • Data source exclusivity: If TradingView data is unavailable or disputed, resolution cannot proceed using alternative sources; this would require market cancellation or adjudication
  • Multiple deadline variants: Each deadline (June 30, September 30, December 31) is an independent market; earlier YES resolutions do not affect later deadline markets
Timing: Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each specified deadline date (June 30, September 30, December 31). Markets resolve immediately upon confirmation of TradingView candle data for the final trading minute of each deadline.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the STRC “High” values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. The outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the STRC chart. Values from other exchanges or different data providers will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the STRC “High” values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. The outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the STRC chart. Values from other exchanges or different data providers will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

The STRC $100 price target market aggregates trader positions across Polymarket and Predict, capturing real-time consensus on whether Stratos will reach $100 before the deadline. This cross-platform view reflects combined liquidity and belief across major prediction venues. Polymarket currently shows 84.5% odds, while Predict reflects 80.0%, offering a snapshot of how different trader bases assess the likelihood of this price milestone. Monitoring both platforms reveals market sentiment shifts and helps traders identify pricing inefficiencies or emerging conviction.

Prediction market odds distill forward-looking trader conviction into a single probability, distinct from current spot price or technical analysis. This market's odds reflect what traders collectively believe about STRC reaching $100 by the deadline, factoring in volatility, adoption catalysts, and macro conditions. Spot price alone doesn't capture tail risk or upside optionality the way prediction markets do. Comparing these odds to your own fundamental view helps identify whether the market is pricing in too much or too little upside potential for this asset.

Polymarket and Predict serve different trader demographics, liquidity depths, and fee structures, which naturally produces pricing variance on identical outcomes. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Arbitrage opportunities emerge when one platform prices this market significantly higher or lower than the other, though transaction costs and withdrawal friction often prevent full convergence. User base composition, platform UI design, and promotional incentives also shape order flow and marginal pricing on each venue. Savvy traders monitor both to spot mispricings and execute cross-platform strategies.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether STRC's price reaches or exceeds $100 at any point before the deadline, as recorded on major exchanges. Traders holding positions through resolution will see their outcomes settled based on verified price data. Early exit is always available if conviction changes or risk management demands it.

Major catalysts include Stratos product launches, partnership announcements, regulatory clarity on crypto infrastructure, and shifts in broader market sentiment toward layer-2 or infrastructure tokens. Macroeconomic events—interest rate decisions, risk-on sentiment swings—ripple through crypto valuations. Network adoption metrics, developer activity, and competing protocol developments also influence trader positioning. Monitoring on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and exchange inflows can help anticipate repricing before consensus shifts fully on this market.