TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Solana above ___ on August 1?
polymarket
kalshi

Solana above ___ on August 1?

Total volume:
$289,005
Volume 24h:
$88,772
320%
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
$89,922
16%

Above $110.00

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:08h:51m

Will SOL trimmed mean be above $110.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?

77%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 77% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $110.00

Trade
77%
67%
Yes 78¢No 23¢
1¢
N/A
$66,840
102%
930%
$11,209
4d 8h 51m
active
polymarket

110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
38.5%
Yes 39¢No 61.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Above $115.00

Trade
43%
36%
Yes 40¢No 61¢
1¢
N/A
$65,036
65%
1,728%
$13,839
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $120.00

Trade
19%
Yes 15¢No 87¢
2¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $130.00

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $135.00

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $140.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $125.00

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $145.00

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $150.00

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $155.00

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $160.00

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $165.00

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 51m
active
kalshi

Above $100.00

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,623
N/A
N/A
$9,997
4d 8h 51m
Yes
polymarket

100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Above $105.00

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,765
N/A
N/A
$13,471
4d 8h 51m
Yes
kalshi

Above $95.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,587
N/A
N/A
$12,129
4d 8h 51m
Yes
kalshi

Above $80.00

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,896
N/A
N/A
$11,343
4d 8h 51m
Yes
polymarket

80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Above $90.00

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,689
N/A
N/A
$8,690
4d 8h 51m
Yes
polymarket

90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Above $85.00

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,444
N/A
N/A
$6,242
4d 8h 51m
Yes
polymarket

70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$870
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This group of markets evaluates whether the price of Solana (SOL) will exceed various thresholds on or by August 1, 2026. The markets differ in their specific price thresholds and resolution criteria, with some focusing on a specific date and others on any time up to a deadline.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Timing and threshold divergence between Polymarket's specific date resolution and Kalshi's anytime-up-to-deadline resolutionHero tip: Be cautious when trading these markets as the timing and threshold criteria differ significantly between Polymarket and Kalshi, potentially leading to different outcomes for the same price movement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the Binance 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 1, 2026 for specific thresholds
  • Kalshi: Resolves if SOL price ever exceeds the threshold between issuance and 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for SOL over the course of August 2026, resolving to Yes if the cryptocurrency's price exceeds any specified level at any moment during the period. Each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using minute-by-minute price data. To mitigate the impact of extreme fluctuations, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are excluded before calculating a trimmed mean for each minute. If, at any point, this trimmed mean surpasses the relevant threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The measurement period spans from market issuance through August 31, 2026, ending at 11:59 PM ET. Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to No. The exchange specifies the exact version or ticker of SOL being tracked to ensure clarity.