TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
limitless

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Total volume:
$486,031
Volume 24h:
$474
7%
Liquidity:
$68,973
2%
Open interest:
$49,606N/A

$10M

 - Polymarket

$10M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?

63%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 65¢ buys you 154 shares | Odds: 63% Total Payout: $154 | Net Profit: $54 Multiplier: 1.54x | ROI: 54% | APY: 245% Low liquidity 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$10M

Trade
63%
Yes 65¢No 40¢
5¢
$342
$765
0%
33%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$40M

Trade
52%
16%
Yes 52¢No 65¢
17¢
$105
$828
0%
23%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$70M

Trade
39%
4%
Yes 39¢No 80¢
19¢
$6,441
$16,479
0%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$150M

Trade
18%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
2¢
$12,598
$84,964
0%
0.13%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$300M

Trade
18%
7%
Yes 19.7¢No 83.7¢
3.4¢
$16,586
$31,387
2%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$200M

Trade
14%
Yes 15¢No 87¢
2¢
$12,214
$134,374
0%
0.06%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
limitless

Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 86¢
5.8¢
N/A
$2,123
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
14%
Yes 14.5¢No 86.5¢
Avg: 3.9¢Max: 5.8¢
polymarket

$400M

Trade
8%
Yes 8.6¢No 93.4¢
2¢
$20,125
$32,905
0%
1%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$1B

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.6¢
0.6¢
$563
$182,205
0%
0%
N/A
N/A
active
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Reya's token will reach a fully diluted valuation above $10M on the calendar day immediately following its public launch. Aggregated data from Polymarket and Limitless currently show a 88.0% consensus probability for this outcome. Resolution will be determined using the most liquid price source available for the Reya token post-launch, with official confirmation of the launch date sourced from Reya's official social channels at https://x.com/reya_xyz. Watch for the official launch announcement to establish the resolution date window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical FDV calculation methodology, timing definition, launch criteria, and fallback resolution rule with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available for Reya token post-launch; official Reya social channels (https://x.com/reya_xyz) for launch confirmation

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to qualify as a launch
  • FDV = total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
  • Resolution uses the most liquid price source available at the specified time
  • Each market resolves Yes if FDV exceeds the specified threshold, No otherwise
  • If no token launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in the group resolve to No

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Launch timing ambiguity: If token becomes tradable before 4:00 PM ET on launch day, resolution still uses 4:00 PM ET price on the following calendar day
  • Multiple price sources: When multiple exchanges list the token, the most liquid source (typically highest volume) determines the price used for FDV calculation
  • Token supply uncertainty: Total token supply must be clearly defined and verifiable at launch; if supply is contested or changes post-launch, resolution uses the supply figure at 4:00 PM ET on day after launch
  • Deadline miss: If Reya does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to No regardless of FDV threshold
Timing: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token launch date. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to No on that deadline.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".