TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.6b
24H VOL:
$136,531,341
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,197,913,311
339,027
Markets across
34,284
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
112° to 113°
- Kalshi
112° to 113° - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Aug 28, 2026
Time left: 20h:33m:23s
$
This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. It uses an authoritative weather data provider to determine the outcome, ensuring consistency despite variations in other weather reporting services. The event is designed to test predictions against actual recorded climate conditions.
The event determines whether the maximum temperature in Phoenix on August 27, 2026, falls within specific Fahrenheit ranges, with outcomes resolving based on data from The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature bands are defined: less than 112°F, 112–113°F, 114–115°F, 116–117°F, 118–119°F, and greater than 119°F. The official outcome is solely based on The Weather Company's reported maximum temperature for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules emphasizing that while other weather services may offer guidance, only The Weather Company's data is definitive. Users are cautioned that preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion differences, and final resolution will use the officially reported value after all adjustments are complete.