TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$124,291,538

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,362

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Ethereum price on August 29?
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

Ethereum price on August 29?

Total volume:
$188,316
Volume 24h:
$20,776
21%
Liquidity:
$35,423
3,669%
Open interest:
$107,348
16%

$2,200 or above

 - Kalshi

$2,200 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 29, 2026

Time left: 22h:26m:53s

Ethereum price at Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$2,200 or above

Trade
99%
5%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$1,594
60%
N/A
$1,593
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,400 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$258
13%
N/A
$258
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,440 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,480 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,520 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,560 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,320 or above

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$10,070
22%
N/A
$4,131
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,280 or above

Trade
98%
4%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$3,810
8%
N/A
$3,754
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,360 or above

Trade
98%
3%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$3,153
26%
N/A
$1,401
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,120 or above

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$631
59%
N/A
$474
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,240 or above

Trade
97%
4%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,517
3%
N/A
$5,486
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,000 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$16
0%
N/A
$16
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,720 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,040 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,382
0%
N/A
$5,382
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,160 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,549
0%
N/A
$1,336
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,960 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$43
0%
N/A
$43
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,880 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$6
0%
N/A
$6
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,400 or above

Trade
95%
9%
Yes 96¢No 5¢
1¢
N/A
$4,655
55%
N/A
$2,082
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,080 or above

Trade
94%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,056
0%
N/A
$5,056
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,440 or above

Trade
87%
15%
Yes 88¢No 13¢
1¢
N/A
$8,543
0.78%
N/A
$782
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,480 or above

Trade
71%
12%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
1¢
N/A
$39,612
1%
N/A
$5,607
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,680 or above

Trade
44%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,520 or above

Trade
42%
1%
Yes 45¢No 57¢
2¢
N/A
$13,327
14%
N/A
$2,717
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$1,840 or above

Trade
31%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$4
0%
N/A
$4
22h 26m
active
kalshi

$2,560 or above

Trade
22%
10%
Yes 23¢No 78¢
1¢
N/A
$7,019
77%
N/A
$4,746
22h 26m
active
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks Ethereum's price movements on August 29, 2026, comparing thresholds defined by Kalshi and Polymarket. Kalshi uses a pre-5 PM EDT average on August 28 to determine outcomes, while Polymarket relies on Binance's ETH/USDT closing price at noon ET on August 29.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Timing RiskHero tip: Monitor both the August 28 pre-5 PM EDT ERTI average and the August 29 noon Binance ETH/USDT close. Divergence risk exists if these values differ significantly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026.
  • Polymarket: Resolves according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on August 29, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026. If this average exceeds the specified threshold for a given market (e.g., $1,400, $1,440, etc.), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is determined by collecting 60 ERTI prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. Participants should note that this benchmark may differ from consumer-facing sources like Google or Coinbase, and the ERTI average is the definitive value for resolution purposes.