TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$115,807,555

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,188,566,556

336,771

Markets across

33,711

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,629

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp?

Total volume:
$224,270
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$234
0.89%
Open interest:
$97,897
0%

Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp

 - Polymarket

Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jul 9, 2026

Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp

65%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 65¢ buys you 154 shares | Odds: 65% Total Payout: $154 | Net Profit: $54 Multiplier: 1.54x | ROI: 54% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp

Trade
65%
1%
Yes 65¢No 95¢
60¢
$234
$263
0%
5%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
100¢
N/A
$134,159
N/A
N/A
$58,059
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
100¢
N/A
$89,848
N/A
N/A
$39,838
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Yokohama BayStars and Hiroshima Carp scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 5:15 AM EDT. Markets across platforms are betting on which team wins this matchup, with specific handling rules for postponements, cancellations, and ties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi have different outcome structures and edge-case handling. Polymarket explicitly resolves to a team name or 50-50 split; Kalshi resolves to Yes for either winner but lacks stated rules for cancellation, postponement, or ties.Hero tip: On Polymarket, cancellation or tie results in a 50-50 split, protecting you from total loss. On Kalshi, the absence of explicit cancellation/tie rules creates settlement risk. Confirm Kalshi's official terms before committing capital, especially if you believe a tie or postponement is likely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to winner's team name if game is completed with a winner. If game is postponed, market stays open until completion. If canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, resolves 50-50. Source: https://npb.jp/
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins OR if Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins the game scheduled for Jul 2, 2026 at 5:15 AM EDT. No explicit resolution path stated for cancellation, postponement, or tie scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 2 at 5:15AM ET: If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 5:15 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price per the rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are driven by trader demand rather than bookmaker margins, often reflecting sharper, less-biased probability estimates. Sportsbooks build in juice or vig to guarantee profit, whereas prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs directly. This market's pricing may diverge from traditional sportsbooks because traders can profit by correcting mispriced outcomes, creating incentives for accuracy. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities if one side is systematically underpriced.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market mechanics or settlement timelines that influence how traders price uncertainty. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but differences can persist if one platform has lower volume or if traders on each platform hold genuinely different views about the matchup outcome.

This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team will be determined by the official final score of the game. Until that point, traders can buy and sell shares reflecting their confidence in each team's chances, and positions will be settled based on which team emerges victorious.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury updates to star players, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions on game day, home-field advantage factors, and late-breaking lineup changes can all shift trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert predictions may also influence market pricing as new information surfaces. Monitor team news and league updates closely, as even minor roster or coaching developments can trigger repricing across both platforms.