TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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F1 Drivers' Champion
kalshi
limitless
polymarket
predict
opinion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Total volume:
$232,758,314
Volume 24h:
$11,512,345N/A
Liquidity:
$414,004
97%
Open interest:
$4,773,690
0.1%

Kimi Antonelli

all

5 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

Kalshi

Predict

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 31, 2027

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.8¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.2% | APY: 2% 39 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Kimi Antonelli

Trade
100%
Yes 99.8¢No 0.3¢
0.1¢
$84,435
$5,184,694
1%
9%
N/A
1mo 1w 2d
active
limitless

Kimi Antonelli

Trade
99%
Yes 99.4¢No 0.6¢
0.8¢
N/A
$1,968
0%
0%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$1,884,470
0.18%
4%
$745,320
1mo 1w 5d
active
predict

Kimi Antonelli

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$6,969
$400,553
0.03%
11%
N/A
1mo 1w 3d
active
opinion

Kimi Antonelli

Trade
6%
Yes 5.9¢No 94.1¢
—
N/A
$50,422
0%
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99.5%
Yes 80.8¢No 19.6¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 2¢
opinion

Lewis Hamilton

Trade
6%
Yes 99.5¢No 99¢
98.5¢
N/A
$1,102,237
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 1w 2d
active
predict

Lewis Hamilton

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 96¢
—
$2,353
$1,839,766
0%
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 3d
active
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,652,685
0%
0.16%
$696,964
1mo 1w 5d
active
limitless

Lewis Hamilton

Trade
1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢
0.8¢
N/A
$1,158
0%
0%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
polymarket

Lewis Hamilton

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$142,279
$5,641,638
0.23%
1%
N/A
1mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 21¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 33.4¢Max: 98.5¢
limitless

Fernando Alonso

Trade
45%
Yes 45.1¢No 54.9¢
89.8¢
N/A
$9,922
0%
N/A
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$186,872
0%
0%
$162,222
1mo 1w 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 23.1¢No 77.5¢
Avg: 45.4¢Max: 89.8¢
kalshi

Sergio Perez

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$99,129
0%
0%
$96,128
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$68,254
0%
0%
$68,254
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Nico Hulkenberg

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$59,595
0%
0%
$59,595
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Valtteri Bottas

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$25,997
0%
0%
$25,997
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Alexander Albon

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$24,327
0%
0.39%
$24,327
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Pierre Gasly

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$12,322
0%
0%
$12,322
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Oliver Bearman

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9,962
0%
0%
$9,962
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9,749
0%
0.97%
$9,749
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Lance Stroll

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9,162
0%
0%
$9,161
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Franco Colapinto

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$8,242
0%
0%
$8,242
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Esteban Ocon

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,326
0%
0%
$4,326
1mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Gabriel Bortoleto

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,452
0%
0%
$2,452
1mo 1w 5d
active
limitless

George Russell

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 50.1¢
99.5¢
N/A
$2,432
0%
17%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.4%
Yes 50¢No 50.1¢
Avg: 99.5¢Max: 99.5¢
Total markets: 25 of 75

Description

This group forecasts the winner of the 2026 Formula 1 World Drivers' Championship. Markets across platforms ask whether a specific driver will win the championship, or if another driver will win. Resolution depends on the official F1 driver standings at the end of the 2026 season.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official F1 driver standings and include provisions for season cancellation or driver elimination.Primary resolution logic: Official Formula 1 results

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the driver who finishes first in the official 2026 F1 Driver Standings.
  • In the event of a tie, the official F1 tiebreak procedure will be used to determine the winner.
  • If a driver is mathematically eliminated from championship contention, their corresponding market will resolve to 'No'.
  • If the 2026 F1 season is permanently canceled or not completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, markets will resolve to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Season Cancellation: If the 2026 F1 season is canceled before completion, all markets will resolve to 'Other'.
  • Driver Elimination: If a driver is mathematically eliminated from championship contention, their corresponding market resolves to 'No'.
  • Tie for First: The official F1 tiebreak procedure will be used to determine the winner in the event of a tie.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Kalshi

The 2026 F1 Drivers Championship resolves based on which driver accumulates the most championship points throughout the season. Each of the eligible drivers—including established competitors and rising talent—can win the championship by achieving the highest point total across all races. The resolution is determined by the official FIA championship standings at the conclusion of the 2026 season.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market titled “Other” will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on who will win the F1 Drivers' Championship. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms exceeds $232,758,314, with $94,734 traded in the last 24 hours. The overall market indicates a strong likelihood of Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? winning, currently priced around a 99.8%% probability. This provides a combined perspective, allowing traders to see where the crowd stands on the outcome of the F1 Drivers' Championship, aggregating insights from multiple prediction markets.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs and platform fees should be considered. The current volume of $232,758,314 suggests strong interest in this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to variations in trader demographics, market-making activity, and differing liquidity levels. While both platforms address the same question regarding the F1 Drivers' Championship, the composition of traders on each—their information, risk tolerance, and trading strategies—can lead to divergent price discovery. Furthermore, differing fee structures and trading limits on Polymarket versus Kalshi can influence how traders position themselves, contributing to these observed price differences.

This market resolves around Apr 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the F1 Drivers' Championship, as officially declared by the Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile (FIA), will determine the outcome of this market. The FIA’s official results will be used to verify the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. The current volume of $232,758,314 indicates significant engagement with this market leading up to resolution.

Several events could significantly impact this market. Unexpected driver performance changes, team strategy shifts, or mechanical failures during races are all potential catalysts. Major announcements regarding driver contracts or team restructuring could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, weather conditions during key races and any controversies or penalties issued by the FIA could shift market sentiment. Any news impacting the perceived likelihood of Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? winning the championship will likely cause fluctuations in the market, with a total volume of $232,758,314 already traded.