TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$124,291,538

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,362

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
polymarket

Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?

Jul 20, 2026, 7:08 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$124,933
Volume 24h:
$4,997
972%
Liquidity:
$30,081
6%
Open interest:
$13,224N/A

Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:00h:31m

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98.4¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 333% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

Trade
97%
1%
Yes 98.4¢No 4.5¢
2.9¢
$1,010
$21,638
2%
14%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

OpenAI

1%
1%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.8¢
1.7¢
$1,046
$29,081
1%
6%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Alibaba

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.7¢
0.6¢
$2,544
$7,394
10%
30%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Z.ai

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
$1,089
$4,634
11%
661%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.8¢
0.5¢
$3,872
$6,908
6%
21%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$1,850
$7,495
6%
17%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$856
$7,525
7%
36%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Google

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$2,569
$7,566
6%
17%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$1,254
$11,102
4%
20%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$2,917
$7,065
6%
17%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$2,242
$5,906
8%
23%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,052
$2,833
0%
55%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,038
$1,557
0%
180%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,806
$1,388
0%
258%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,460
$1,303
0%
177%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,106
$521
0%
0%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,186
$515
0%
0%
N/A
4d 31m
active
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,187
$503
0%
0%
N/A
4d 31m
active
Total markets: 18

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".