TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
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2nd Largest Company end of August?
polymarket
predict
opinion

2nd Largest Company end of August?

Total volume:
$497,928
Volume 24h:
$28,178
4%
Liquidity:
$392,679
73%
Open interest:
$96,611N/A

Alphabet

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:02h:39m

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99.6¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.4% | APY: 44% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Alphabet

Trade
100%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢
—
$30,037
$3
0%
0%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
polymarket

Alphabet

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.1¢
0.2¢
$40,541
$152,604
4%
22%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50.5%
Yes 50.3¢No 49.8¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

Apple

Trade
98%
2%
Yes 98.6¢No 2¢
0.6¢
$22,848
$173,811
6%
23%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Apple

Trade
95%
Yes 95.1¢No 5¢
0.1¢
$3,942
$5,349
0.41%
9%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
96.5%
Yes 96.9¢No 3.5¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 0.6¢
predict

NVIDIA

Trade
45%
42%
Yes 90.1¢No 99.9¢
90¢
$31,013
$2,422
0%
58%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
polymarket

NVIDIA

Trade
0%
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.8¢
0.5¢
$73,903
$106,437
12%
29%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
22.5%
Yes 45.4¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 45.3¢Max: 90¢
predict

Tesla

Trade
2%
97%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.8¢
—
$3,604
$5
0%
0%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
polymarket

Tesla

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$25,767
$6,418
0%
3%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 98.9¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Microsoft

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$47,543
$35,796
0%
4%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Microsoft

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$5,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Amazon

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$25,908
$5,698
0%
26%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Amazon

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$7,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Saudi Aramco

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$33,643
$5,101
0%
4%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Saudi Aramco

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$6,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Broadcom

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$27,918
$4,283
0%
4%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Broadcom

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$5,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
opinion

440

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

450

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

460

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

470

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

480

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

490

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

500

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

510

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

520

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group tracks which company will hold the second-largest global market capitalization as of the market close on August 31, 2026. Markets resolve based on consensus reporting from credible financial sources.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve to the second-largest company by market cap on August 31, 2026, using consensus reporting from credible sources.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of credible financial reporting (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, S&P Global Market Intelligence)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market capitalization is calculated as share price multiplied by total outstanding shares
  • Ranking determined by total market cap at market close on August 31, 2026 (UTC time)
  • Resolution uses consensus from at least two major financial data providers

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie in market cap: If two companies have identical market caps at close, the company with the higher closing share price wins
  • After-hours trading: Only regular market close data counts; after-hours activity does not affect resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs during the week of September 1-7, 2026, after all major markets closeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Predict

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.