TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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3rd Largest Company end of August?
polymarket
predict

3rd Largest Company end of August?

Jul 15, 2026, 9:01 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$358,622
Volume 24h:
$13,306
369%
Liquidity:
$277,377
27%
Open interest:
$79,880N/A

Alphabet

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:02h:39m

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.5¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 0.5% | APY: 58% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alphabet

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99.5¢No 1.6¢
1.1¢
$9,874
$102,483
3%
16%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Alphabet

97%
2%
Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢
3.5¢
N/A
$2,511
0%
100%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
98%
Yes 98¢No 2.6¢
Avg: 2.3¢Max: 3.5¢
predict

Apple

2%
Yes No 99.9¢
2.9¢
$31,941
$848
0%
0%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
polymarket

Apple

0%
2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$53,498
$70,181
9%
25%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2.9¢
predict

Saudi Aramco

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$30,626
$150
0%
0%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
polymarket

Saudi Aramco

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$21,324
$8,587
0%
0%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
1%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
$33,259
$60,461
3%
12%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Microsoft

N/A
N/A
$1,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

NVIDIA

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$26,871
$95,565
3%
19%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

NVIDIA

N/A
N/A
99.3¢
$3,522
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 99.3¢Max: 99.3¢
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$13,153
$10,376
0%
0.62%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Amazon

N/A
N/A
$1,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

Tesla

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$20,309
$5,124
0%
0%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Tesla

N/A
N/A
$4,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

Broadcom

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$19,874
$2,335
0%
0%
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
predict

Broadcom

N/A
N/A
$4,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 39m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
Total markets: 16

Description

This event group tracks which company will hold the third-largest position by market capitalization as of the market close on August 31, 2026. Multiple markets across Polymarket and Predict platforms offer binary outcomes for various companies, with resolution based on consensus credible reporting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict markets use identical resolution criteria: the third-largest company by market cap as of the close of trading on August 31, 2026, determined by consensus credible reporting.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the third-largest company by market capitalization as of the close of trading on August 31, 2026
  • Market cap rankings will be determined using consensus data from credible financial reporting sources
  • If two companies have identical market caps for the third position, the company with the higher share price determines the resolution

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie for Third Position: If two companies are tied for the third-largest position by market cap, the company with the higher share price as of market close on August 31, 2026 will determine the resolution
  • Market Cap Recalculation: If a credible reporting source later recalculates market caps for August 31, 2026 after the initial resolution, the original resolution stands unless an official correction is issued by major financial authorities
Timing: Resolution occurs after the close of trading on August 31, 2026, using data available by September 15, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Predict

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.