TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$115,807,555

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,188,566,556

336,771

Markets across

33,711

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,629

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
polymarket
predict

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Total volume:
$1,513,817
Volume 24h:
$4,228
75%
Liquidity:
$393,344
1%
Open interest:
$814,785N/A

↑ $5,000

 - Polymarket

↑ $5,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

63%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 63¢ buys you 159 shares | Odds: 63% Total Payout: $159 | Net Profit: $59 Multiplier: 1.59x | ROI: 59% | APY: 281% 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ $5,000

Trade
63%
Yes 63¢No 38¢
1¢
$20,352
$36,218
0.77%
8%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

↑ $6,000

Trade
16%
1%
Yes 16.1¢No 84.9¢
1¢
$46,257
$10,596
5%
85%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ $6,000

Trade
16%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
$35,195
$1,033,343
0.3%
12%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
16%
Yes 16.1¢No 84.9¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
predict

↑ $8,000

Trade
9%
Yes 8.7¢No 91.3¢
—
$672
$22
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ $8,000

Trade
3%
Yes 3.5¢No 96.6¢
0.1¢
$59,351
$55,812
0.09%
7%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6%
Yes 6.1¢No 94¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

↑ $7,000

Trade
8%
Yes 12.3¢No 95.9¢
8.2¢
$744
$12
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ $7,000

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$30,734
$127,575
0%
2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7.5%
Yes 9.7¢No 95¢
Avg: 4.6¢Max: 8.2¢
polymarket

↓ $3,500

Trade
8%
Yes 9¢No 93¢
2¢
$1,363
$2,980
0%
72%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

↑ $15,000

Trade
7%
Yes 6.9¢No 93.1¢
—
$3,784
$46
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ $15,000

Trade
2%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.3¢
0.1¢
$51,200
$95,951
0.12%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
4.5%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

↓ $3,000

Trade
5%
9%
Yes 6.5¢No 95.9¢
2.4¢
$18,912
$4,453
0%
14%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ $2,500

Trade
5%
Yes 6.9¢No 97.9¢
4.8¢
$11,530
$743
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ $10,000

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
0.1¢
$62,524
$81,462
0%
6%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

↑ $10,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

↑ $12,000

Trade
2%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
0.1¢
$50,725
$64,605
0.25%
4%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

↑ $12,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

↑ $4,500

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
active
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group tracks whether the CME official settlement price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures will reach specific thresholds ($5,000, $6,000, $7,000, $8,000, $10,000, $12,000, or $15,000) by the final trading day of December 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution logic based on CME official settlement prices for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Primary resolution logic: CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed threshold on any trading day by the final trading day of December 2026
  • Market resolves to "No" if the threshold is never met by the final trading day of December 2026
  • Only official CME settlement prices are considered; intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count
  • Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored
  • Resolution is based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of later corrections or updates

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Active Month Change: The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, and the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. The market will resolve based on the Active Month's settlement price at the time of the change.
  • Market Closure Days: Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. The market will only consider days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month.
  • Settlement Price Corrections: The market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the final trading day of December 2026, once all CME settlement prices for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures have been published.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.