TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Total volume:
$2,006,845
Volume 24h:
$992
1,299%
Liquidity:
$291,817
3%
Open interest:
$77,359N/A

No IPO by December 31, 2026

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

85%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 85% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 60% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

No IPO by December 31, 2026

Trade
85%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
$30,703
$464,816
0.21%
3%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

No IPO by December 31, 2026

N/A
N/A
$36,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
85%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

1.5T+

6%
Yes 7.1¢No 94.2¢
1.3¢
$8,962
$153,324
0.01%
1%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

1.5T+

N/A
N/A
99.7¢
$29,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6%
Yes 7.1¢No 94.2¢
Avg: 50.5¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

750B–1T

5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95.8¢
0.9¢
$7,075
$174,722
0%
0.17%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

750B–1T

N/A
N/A
$29,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95.8¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 0.9¢
polymarket

1T–1.25T

4%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.8¢
0.2¢
$7,285
$217,569
0%
0.22%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

1T–1.25T

N/A
N/A
$29,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
4%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.8¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

1.25T–1.5T

2%
Yes 2.6¢No 99.6¢
2.2¢
$8,403
$524,939
0%
0.02%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

1.25T–1.5T

N/A
N/A
$29,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2.6¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 2.2¢Max: 2.2¢
polymarket

500–750B

1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.8¢
0.6¢
$7,550
$166,962
0.01%
0.14%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

500–750B

N/A
N/A
$29,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 0.6¢
polymarket

<500B

0%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
0.6¢
$7,686
$304,514
0%
0.06%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

<500B

N/A
N/A
$29,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 0.6¢
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Predict

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.