TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Venezuela vs. Colombia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Venezuela vs. Colombia?

Total volume:
$237,134
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$190
0%
Open interest:
$137,262
0%

Venezuela vs. Colombia

 - Polymarket

Venezuela vs. Colombia - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jul 7, 2026

Venezuela vs. Colombia

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 47.9¢ buys you 209 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $209 | Net Profit: $109 Multiplier: 2.09x | ROI: 109% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Venezuela vs. Colombia

Trade
48%
Yes 47.9¢No 99.9¢
47.8¢
$190
$1,071
0%
1%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Colombia

100%
Yes 100¢No
100¢
N/A
$114,885
N/A
N/A
$70,020
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Venezuela

0%
Yes No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$121,178
N/A
N/A
$67,242
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Venezuela and Colombia scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single professional basketball match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both Venezuela and Colombia outcomes are mapped to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Only one team can win a single game, so both conditions cannot be true simultaneously.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform. Before trading, request explicit clarification from Kalshi on whether this is a documentation error, a two-market structure, or a Venezuela-only Yes/No market. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be treated as the reference standard.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary outcome structure. Venezuela victory resolves to Venezuela, Colombia victory resolves to Colombia. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Logically consistent and resolvable.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes mapping. Both Venezuela win and Colombia win are stated to resolve to Yes. Since only one team can win, this creates an impossible resolution state. Market cannot be settled without clarification.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for June 30 at 7:10PM ET: If the Venezuela win, the market will resolve to "Venezuela". If the Colombia win, the market will resolve to "Colombia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Colombia vs Venezuela professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the rescheduling occurs within two weeks of the original date. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or if rescheduling extends beyond two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with standard resolution procedures.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates trader sentiment on the Venezuela vs. Colombia football match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading prediction platforms. This dashboard consolidates real-time odds, trading volume, and consensus forecasts from both venues into a single view. Traders on each platform independently price the outcome, creating a cross-platform snapshot of where the market believes the match is headed. By monitoring both Polymarket and Kalshi simultaneously, you can spot divergences, track momentum shifts, and gauge conviction levels across the prediction ecosystem. The unified display helps you make faster, more informed decisions without toggling between separate platforms.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—real money flowing toward outcomes believers think are most likely. This market reflects pure crowd forecasting with minimal house friction. Prediction market odds often lead sportsbook lines, especially early, because traders have direct financial skin in the game. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities. However, prediction markets typically offer lower liquidity than major sportsbooks, so large bets may move prices more noticeably here.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different market designs, fee structures, and trader bases, which naturally produces price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct user demographics and risk appetites; some traders favor one venue's interface, liquidity, or regulatory environment over the other. Funding availability, withdrawal policies, and promotional incentives also vary, shifting capital flows between them. Small differences in how each platform frames the outcome can subtly influence trader behavior. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities for sharp traders willing to exploit temporary mispricings across both venues.

This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result recognized by major football authorities and news sources. Until that date, traders can buy and sell positions freely. As the event date approaches, prices typically tighten and volatility may increase. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and verified, at which point all positions settle according to the final outcome.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, lineup changes, or managerial decisions—often triggers sharp price swings. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tournament context all influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into one side can signal conviction and shift odds rapidly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and travel logistics may also matter. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports media coverage can amplify retail trader activity. As the match date nears, late-breaking roster updates or tactical announcements frequently spark volatility. Monitor team announcements and sports news feeds closely to stay ahead of market moves.