TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
polymarket

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

May 26, 2026, 12:31 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$614,078
Volume 24h:
$1,804
71%
Liquidity:
$43,186
24%
Open interest:
$31,928N/A

No IPO before January 2027

 - Polymarket

No IPO before January 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?

93%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 94.8¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 93% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 34% Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

No IPO before January 2027

Trade
93%
Yes 94.8¢No 7.9¢
2.7¢
$582
$39,420
0.05%
5%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$20B+

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 97.3¢
0.5¢
$21,158
$73,858
0%
10%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

<$7.5B

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.4¢
1.3¢
$5,021
$81,249
2%
3%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$10B–$12.5B

Trade
1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.6¢
1.2¢
$2,538
$96,565
0%
0.64%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$12.5B–$15B

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.5¢
0.2¢
$3,416
$107,344
0.1%
1%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$7.5B–$10B

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.6¢
0.4¢
$2,023
$105,011
0%
0.5%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$17.5B–$20B

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
0.4¢
$2,998
$45,591
0%
1%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$15B–$17.5B

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$5,451
$65,042
0.36%
1%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks whether Oura’s market capitalization will fall within specific ranges at the close of its first day of trading. Currently, Polymarket gives a 29.5% probability to Oura’s market cap being between $15B and $17.5B, while there is a 25.5% probability it will reach at least $20B. Resolution will be based on Oura’s closing price on its primary exchange, as reported by the official listing page. Traders should closely watch for news regarding Oura’s planned IPO filing date, as the market will resolve to “No IPO before January 2027” if an IPO does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Oura IPO market tracks the current odds of various closing market cap ranges, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $4,416, and the total volume traded to date, which is $614,078. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and activity surrounding the potential valuation of Oura following its initial public offering. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of Oura’s potential IPO valuation. It's interesting to compare this to traditional analyst forecasts, which often center on similar valuation ranges. However, prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information and perspectives that aren’t immediately reflected in analyst reports, potentially leading to divergences. If analysts broadly expect a valuation between $15 billion and $17.5 billion, for example, it would be insightful to see if this market shows a corresponding high probability for that outcome. The wisdom of the crowd can offer a unique perspective.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing market cap of Oura on its IPO day will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from official sources detailing the final trading price of Oura stock following the IPO. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual financial performance of the company’s public debut.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the IPO date, the number of shares offered, or the anticipated price range would likely cause movement. Broader market conditions, particularly the performance of the tech sector and recent IPOs, will also play a role. Positive or negative press coverage about Oura's technology, growth prospects, or financial health could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any major announcements from Oura’s management team or key investors could influence the perceived valuation and, therefore, the odds in this market.