TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the 2027 NCAA Football National Championship?

Total volume:
$16,825,439
Volume 24h:
$552,535
10%
Liquidity:
$92,452
3%
Open interest:
$14,735,261
4%

Ohio State Buckeyes

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 26, 2027

Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?

14%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 14¢ buys you 714 shares | Odds: 14% Total Payout: $714 | Net Profit: $614 Multiplier: 7.14x | ROI: 614% APY not meaningful 151 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ohio State Buckeyes

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
$4,558
$11,058
0.91%
92%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
kalshi

Ohio St.

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
N/A
$885,217
4%
24%
$722,551
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
13.5%
Yes 13.5¢No 87.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Notre Dame

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
N/A
$1,095,870
2%
17%
$944,734
5mo 1d
active
polymarket

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Trade
13%
Yes 14¢No 88¢
2¢
$9,088
$21,832
1%
11%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
13%
Yes 13.5¢No 88¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Oregon Ducks

Trade
13%
Yes 12.7¢No 87.4¢
0.1¢
$5,643
$8,293
2%
11%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
kalshi

Oregon

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$928,800
2%
17%
$825,243
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
12%
Yes 11.9¢No 88.7¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Texas

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$1,384,040
0.99%
10%
$1,029,197
5mo 1d
active
polymarket

Texas Longhorns

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
$5,491
$11,280
0%
6%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
11%
Yes 12¢No 89.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Indiana Hoosiers

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 89.2¢
0.2¢
$5,342
$17,607
0.58%
12%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
kalshi

Indiana

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$997,981
24%
60%
$947,869
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
10.5%
Yes 10.5¢No 90.1¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Georgia Bulldogs

Trade
10%
Yes 10.4¢No 89.9¢
0.3¢
$8,679
$3,149
4%
26%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
kalshi

Georgia

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$805,221
3%
13%
$677,783
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
9.5%
Yes 10.2¢No 90.5¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Miami Hurricanes

Trade
10%
Yes 10.1¢No 90¢
0.1¢
$2,257
$15,412
0%
79%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
kalshi

Miami (FL)

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$1,101,289
4%
14%
$976,697
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
9%
Yes 9¢No 91.5¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

LSU

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$1,495,593
2%
8%
$1,449,088
5mo 1d
active
polymarket

LSU Tigers

Trade
6%
Yes 6.1¢No 94.1¢
0.2¢
$2,884
$8,751
0%
57%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6%
Yes 6.1¢No 94.6¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Texas Tech

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$787,250
2%
17%
$631,669
5mo 1d
active
polymarket

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Trade
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 98.8¢
0.2¢
$6,346
$2,427
0%
438%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2.5%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.9¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Oklahoma

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$1,470,321
0.85%
23%
$1,304,725
5mo 1d
active
polymarket

Oklahoma Sooners

Trade
2%
Yes 1.9¢No 98.4¢
0.3¢
$5,856
$3,269
0%
47%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2.5%
Yes 2.5¢No 98.2¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Ole Miss

Trade
3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,180,766
3%
24%
$874,521
5mo 1d
active
kalshi

Alabama

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$808,604
2%
21%
$718,953
5mo 1d
active
polymarket

Alabama Crimson Tide

Trade
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.5¢
0.2¢
$6,731
$2,894
0%
773%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 3.4¢No 97.2¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Michigan

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$601,819
0.01%
3%
$560,062
5mo 1d
active
polymarket

Michigan Wolverines

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.3¢
0.4¢
$3,524
$7,118
0%
78%
N/A
5mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 25 of 66

Description

This event group tracks which NCAA Division I Football team wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game in the 2027 season. The market resolves to Yes if any of the 50 listed teams wins the championship game, creating a comprehensive coverage of potential national champions across all FBS conferences and independent programs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket data is corrupted with placeholder team codes (Team A, Team B, Team C, etc.) that cannot be mapped to actual NCAA Division 1 football programs, making resolution impossible. Kalshi provides a complete, coherent list of 50 named teams with clear resolution criteria tied to the CFP National Championship Game winner.Hero tip: Do not trade Polymarket markets with placeholder team codes—they cannot be resolved. Kalshi markets are tradeable and will resolve based on which team wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. If you hold Polymarket positions on coded teams, expect forced resolution to 'Other' or 'No' due to data integrity failure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets reference 50+ questions, but approximately 80+ use undefined placeholder codes (Team A, Team S, Team CI, Team AT, Team BT, etc.) instead of actual team names. Only 9 markets name real teams (Mississippi Rebels, Michigan Wolverines, Indiana Hoosiers, Oklahoma Sooners, LSU Tigers, Oregon Ducks, Ohio State Buckeyes, Florida Gators, Texas Longhorns, Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Texas Tech Red Raiders, Miami Hurricanes, USC Trojans, Texas A&M Aggies, Georgia Bulldogs, Alabama Crimson Tide). Resolution source states 'official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used' and includes fallback to 'Other' if champion not declared by Feb 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET. The placeholder codes create a data integrity failure—no mapping exists to resolve these markets.
  • Kalshi: Markets provide 50 explicitly named NCAA Division 1 teams (Virginia Tech, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Utah, Georgia, Texas A&M, Penn St., USC, Kentucky, Tulane, Texas Tech, Texas, Tennessee, TCU, SMU, Washington, North Texas, South Carolina, Miami OH, Miami FL, Louisville, Kansas St., James Madison, Indiana, Houston, Clemson, Pittsburgh, Missouri, Michigan, LSU, Illinois, Florida, California, Ohio St., Oklahoma St., Oklahoma, Notre Dame, North Carolina St., Ole Miss, Iowa, Georgia Tech, Florida St., BYU, Baylor, Auburn, Oregon, Arizona St., Arkansas, Arizona, Alabama). Each market resolves YES if that team wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, NO otherwise. No ambiguity, no placeholder codes, clear resolution trigger.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the championship game. The resolution is based on the official result of this single game, with no other conditions or contingencies affecting the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the 2027 NCAA Football National Championship across Polymarket and Kalshi. It tracks which teams are favored to win the College Football Playoff and displays live probability estimates, historical price movements, and cumulative trading volume. The dashboard consolidates liquidity across platforms, showing you a consensus view of market sentiment while highlighting individual platform positions. With total group volume of $14,923,766 and recent 24-hour activity of $428,256, this event represents significant predictive interest in college football's championship outcome.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate differently from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from real-time supply and demand among traders. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more dynamic consensus because traders have direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. However, sportsbooks may adjust faster to breaking news or injuries due to dedicated risk management teams. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd-sourced market view diverges from professional oddsmakers, offering arbitrage insights for informed bettors.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases, liquidity pools, and trading strategies. Polymarket may show 13.5% for its top outcome while Kalshi reflects 13.0%, a spread of 0.5 percentage points. Differences arise from varying fee structures, market depth, regulatory constraints, and the timing of large trades. Smaller platforms or those with concentrated liquidity in specific teams can experience wider swings. Cross-platform price gaps create opportunities for traders to identify undervalued or overvalued outcomes and can persist until arbitrage activity narrows the divergence.

The market resolves on Jan 26, 2027, following the conclusion of the College Football Playoff National Championship game. The outcome is determined by which team wins that final matchup. Until that date, odds will fluctuate based on team performance during the regular season, playoff seeding announcements, injuries, coaching changes, and other factors that shift expectations. Traders use all available information to adjust their positions, making the prediction market a live, evolving reflection of championship probability as the season unfolds.

Key catalysts include regular season wins and losses, which reshape playoff seeding odds and team viability. Injuries to star quarterbacks or defensive leaders can dramatically shift a team's championship chances. Conference championship outcomes determine playoff access and seeding. Coaching staff changes, recruiting momentum, and transfer portal activity influence long-term team strength. Weather-related disruptions, upset victories, and strength-of-schedule adjustments all move markets. Additionally, early playoff results narrow the field, causing sharp repricing as teams are eliminated. Each week of the college football season generates new information that traders incorporate, making this market highly responsive to on-field developments.