TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
kalshi

How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?

May 20, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$669,795
Volume 24h:
$505
98%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$327,727
0.05%

30,800 or above

 - Kalshi

30,800 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30799.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 6% Illiquid market 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

30,800 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$48,741
0%
15%
$13,116
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

31,000 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$36,837
0%
71%
$16,914
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

31,200 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$34,956
0%
8%
$26,238
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

31,400 or above

Trade
45%
1%
Yes 48¢No 58¢
6¢
N/A
$15,330
1%
17%
$4,886
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

31,600 or above

Trade
36%
2%
Yes 38¢No 66¢
4¢
N/A
$11,493
0.23%
27%
$4,391
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

32,000 or above

Trade
28%
Yes 30¢No 76¢
6¢
N/A
$55,091
0.54%
2%
$37,077
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

31,800 or above

Trade
28%
Yes 32¢No 75¢
7¢
N/A
$9,834
0%
5%
$5,551
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

30,600 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66,789
N/A
N/A
$59,220
2mo 5d
Yes
kalshi

29,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,083
N/A
N/A
$7,255
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

29,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,534
N/A
N/A
$3,757
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

28,200 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,420
N/A
N/A
$5,162
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

28,600 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,837
N/A
N/A
$10,754
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

28,800 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,277
N/A
N/A
$8,230
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

28,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,222
N/A
N/A
$6,782
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

30,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149,058
N/A
N/A
$75,075
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

27,600 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,258
N/A
N/A
$3,159
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

26,200 or above

View
100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.8¢
—
N/A
$40,194
N/A
N/A
$15,354
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

27,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,963
N/A
N/A
$2,253
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

26,400 or above

View
99%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.8¢
—
N/A
$4,677
N/A
N/A
$299
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

26,600 or above

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,936
N/A
N/A
$1,362
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

26,800 or above

View
99%
Yes 99.8¢No 4.6¢
—
N/A
$1,843
N/A
N/A
$262
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

30,400 or above

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,081
N/A
N/A
$1,065
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

30,200 or above

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

27,000 or above

View
97%
Yes 99.9¢No 4.6¢
—
N/A
$1,189
N/A
N/A
$368
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

27,200 or above

View
95%
Yes 99.8¢No 4.9¢
—
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
$924
2mo 5d
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

The Nasdaq 100 stock market index reaches various levels at 4 PM EST before the end of 2026.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the Nasdaq-100 index value recorded after issuance and before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; if the index closes above that threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The market closes on December 31, 2026 and expires at the sooner of the first data release or one week after December 31, 2026. Per the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, the collective prediction from this market suggests a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts predict moderate growth for the Nasdaq-100, this market reflects a broader range of possibilities, with traders pricing in both upside and downside risks. The market’s implied probabilities are formed by actual money on the line, potentially offering a more accurate signal than polls or surveys that rely on stated opinions. It's important to note that analyst forecasts are often point estimates, while this market represents a probability distribution of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices based on their expectations. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the Nasdaq-100 will exceed a certain level by Dec 31, 2026, or sell 'no' contracts if they believe it will not. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market’s consensus probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the changing expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Nasdaq-100’s highest price achieved during 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by established financial data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual highest price reached during the year. This allows for a clear and unambiguous determination of the market’s outcome.

Several key signals and events could significantly impact this market. Macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports and interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve, will likely cause shifts in trader sentiment. Major earnings reports from the largest companies within the Nasdaq-100, like Apple and Microsoft, could also trigger significant price movements. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in investor risk appetite could also influence the market. Any news that alters the outlook for economic growth or corporate profitability has the potential to move this market substantially.