TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.4b
24H VOL:
$91,248,924
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,163,520,955
334,440
Markets across
33,346
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,559
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Closed: Aug 14, 10:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers an NFL game between the Atlanta Falcons and Indianapolis Colts. However, the two platforms reference fundamentally different matchups: Kalshi describes a Denver vs. Atlanta game scheduled for August 14, 2026, while Polymarket describes a Falcons vs. Colts game scheduled for August 22 at 1:00 PM ET. This creates a critical mismatch in both teams and dates.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 22 at 1:00PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution is based on the official final result of the Denver vs Atlanta professional football game originally scheduled for August 14, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market resolves to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair market price.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders directly set prices through supply and demand. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional oddsmakers.
Polymarket and Kalshi may show different odds on the same matchup for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity levels, and risk tolerances, which naturally creates pricing gaps. Platform-specific rules, fee structures, and user bases also influence how quickly new information gets priced in. These differences create arbitrage opportunities for sharp traders and mean you should check both venues before placing a trade.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual game outcome as documented by official sources. Until that time, prices will fluctuate based on team news, injury reports, betting trends, and other factors traders believe affect the matchup. Monitor this market closely in the days leading up to the game for the sharpest pricing.
Key injury announcements, especially to star players or starting quarterbacks, typically trigger sharp price moves. Unexpected roster changes, coaching decisions, or weather forecasts for game day can also shift trader sentiment significantly. Breaking news about team performance, playoff implications, or public betting trends often ripple across both platforms within minutes. Monitor team social media, beat reporters, and Vegas line movements for early signals that may not yet be fully priced into this market.