TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

Sep 30, 2026, 3:30 PM EST - Dec 31, 2027, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$238,152
Volume 24h:
$25,467
18%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$4,725
15%

2% or above

 - Kalshi

2% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 3% 430 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2% or above

Trade
98%
Yes 97¢No 11¢
8¢
N/A
$7,253
0%
1,415%
$252
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

3.5% or above

Trade
94%
33%
Yes 95¢No 27¢
22¢
N/A
$14,681
11%
211%
$178
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

2.25% or above

Trade
94%
4%
Yes 96¢No 15¢
11¢
N/A
$13,104
1%
161%
$228
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

2.5% or above

Trade
90%
Yes 93¢No 14¢
7¢
N/A
$16,228
0%
726%
$418
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

2.75% or above

Trade
84%
15%
Yes 98¢No 11¢
9¢
N/A
$19,031
0.87%
142%
$312
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

3% or above

Trade
78%
Yes 94¢No 21¢
15¢
N/A
$13,046
21%
901%
$275
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

3.25% or above

Trade
78%
2%
Yes 94¢No 20¢
14¢
N/A
$10,543
64%
509%
$174
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

3.75% or above

Trade
70%
9%
Yes 83¢No 30¢
13¢
N/A
$10,275
40%
633%
$164
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

4.25% or above

Trade
68%
2%
Yes 78¢No 35¢
13¢
N/A
$8,665
35%
752%
$124
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

5.75% or above

Trade
62%
52%
Yes 56¢No 81¢
37¢
N/A
$6,658
0.16%
309%
$153
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

5% or above

Trade
61%
2%
Yes 70¢No 56¢
26¢
N/A
$10,699
7%
323%
$150
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

4% or above

Trade
58%
7%
Yes 77¢No 32¢
9¢
N/A
$14,077
40%
453%
$179
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

5.25% or above

Trade
50%
5%
Yes 58¢No 65¢
23¢
N/A
$6,194
3%
396%
$269
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

7% or above

Trade
41%
Yes 41¢No 100¢
41¢
N/A
$8,603
0.89%
75%
$87
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

6% or above

Trade
35%
2%
Yes 38¢No 98¢
36¢
N/A
$9,524
0.32%
580%
$182
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

5.5% or above

Trade
28%
20%
Yes 52¢No 77¢
29¢
N/A
$11,381
0.62%
995%
$208
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

7.25% or above

Trade
28%
4%
Yes 42¢No 98¢
40¢
N/A
$5,330
4%
309%
$95
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

7.5% or above

Trade
28%
27%
Yes 29¢No 98¢
27¢
N/A
$4,974
15%
239%
$83
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

6.75% or above

Trade
10%
16%
Yes 31¢No 96¢
27¢
N/A
$6,250
11%
302%
$324
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

6.25% or above

Trade
4%
29%
Yes 33¢No 97¢
30¢
N/A
$6,670
2%
375%
$177
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

4.5% or above

Trade
66%
9%
Yes 53¢No 68¢
21¢
N/A
$9,292
40%
234%
$112
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

4.75% or above

Trade
23%
25%
Yes 77¢No 63¢
40¢
N/A
$11,874
0.73%
518%
$218
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

6.5% or above

Trade
23%
12%
Yes 45¢No 100¢
45¢
N/A
$4,379
5%
282%
$89
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

7.75% or above

Trade
19%
Yes 67¢No 100¢
67¢
N/A
$6,444
18%
113%
$162
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

8% or above

Trade
15%
Yes 88¢No 100¢
88¢
N/A
$2,978
67%
237%
$111
1y 2mo
active
Total markets: 25

Description

The resolution depends on whether the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield exceeds various thresholds by the end of 2027, with each threshold representing a different level of potential economic indicator.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury exceeds a specific threshold on December 31, 2027. The thresholds range incrementally from just above 2% to above 8%. All markets expire at the sooner of 7:00 PM ET following the data release for December 31, 2027, or one week after that date.