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$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

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2,859,322,643

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$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

Sep 30, 2026, 3:30 PM EST - Dec 31, 2027, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$195,586
Volume 24h:
$8,845
63%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$6,692
4%

2% or above

 - Kalshi

2% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 3% 430 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2% or above

Trade
97%
Yes 97¢No 8¢
5¢
N/A
$6,351
0%
236%
$226
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

2.75% or above

Trade
96%
Yes 96¢No 14¢
10¢
N/A
$5,305
0%
39%
$401
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

4% or above

Trade
92%
8%
Yes 95¢No 29¢
24¢
N/A
$10,525
0%
132%
$407
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

3.25% or above

Trade
91%
Yes 97¢No 16¢
13¢
N/A
$10,256
0%
164%
$252
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

3% or above

Trade
91%
Yes 91¢No 13¢
4¢
N/A
$10,162
0%
180%
$223
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

2.5% or above

Trade
91%
Yes 97¢No 10¢
7¢
N/A
$7,236
0%
86%
$328
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

3.75% or above

Trade
89%
1%
Yes 89¢No 15¢
4¢
N/A
$13,748
2%
134%
$495
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

2.25% or above

Trade
89%
Yes 97¢No 12¢
9¢
N/A
$10,973
0%
152%
$148
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

4.25% or above

Trade
72%
36%
Yes 82¢No 31¢
13¢
N/A
$7,593
7%
476%
$186
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

5.25% or above

Trade
65%
19%
Yes 57¢No 60¢
17¢
N/A
$6,760
5%
201%
$85
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

5% or above

Trade
61%
20%
Yes 69¢No 47¢
16¢
N/A
$13,045
3%
295%
$204
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

4.75% or above

Trade
59%
2%
Yes 61¢No 52¢
13¢
N/A
$6,965
17%
175%
$377
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

4.5% or above

Trade
37%
11%
Yes 70¢No 63¢
33¢
N/A
$8,880
2%
708%
$277
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

5.75% or above

Trade
37%
30%
Yes 43¢No 90¢
33¢
N/A
$6,515
5%
86%
$106
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

6.75% or above

Trade
28%
Yes 24¢No 93¢
17¢
N/A
$5,204
13%
N/A
$248
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

6% or above

Trade
27%
29%
Yes 29¢No 79¢
8¢
N/A
$9,050
10%
241%
$291
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

5.5% or above

Trade
27%
4%
Yes 57¢No 78¢
35¢
N/A
$8,981
27%
404%
$315
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

6.25% or above

Trade
27%
20%
Yes 34¢No 77¢
11¢
N/A
$6,950
10%
183%
$186
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

7.5% or above

Trade
21%
3%
Yes 21¢No 96¢
17¢
N/A
$4,727
2%
135%
$228
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

6.5% or above

Trade
11%
11%
Yes 16¢No 91¢
7¢
N/A
$5,930
2%
124%
$422
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

7% or above

Trade
6%
Yes 14¢No 95¢
9¢
N/A
$7,468
10%
121%
$252
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

8% or above

Trade
6%
Yes 19¢No 97¢
16¢
N/A
$5,705
6%
60%
$228
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

7.75% or above

Trade
6%
Yes 24¢No 97¢
21¢
N/A
$2,392
1%
55%
$274
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

7.25% or above

Trade
4%
18%
Yes 28¢No 98¢
26¢
N/A
$4,789
6%
693%
$203
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

3.5% or above

Trade
97%
13%
Yes 100¢No 18¢
18¢
N/A
$10,076
2%
237%
$332
1y 2mo
active
Total markets: 25

Description

Similarly, this resolution hinges on the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield surpassing various benchmarks by the close of 2027, each benchmark indicating a distinct level of market expectation.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury exceeds a specific threshold on December 31, 2027. The thresholds incrementally increase from just above 2% to above 8%. Expiration occurs at the sooner of 7:00 PM ET following the data release for December 31, 2027, or one week after that date.